Kelly Yeung
ATFX.com Representative
- Messages
- 835
Personal opinions today:
Investors' confidence in the Eurozone continued to fall in October. Although German industrial output improved, it still contracted. The performance of the euro against the US dollar remained sluggish, below 1.1500. The pound was once dragged down by the fall of the euro, falling short of support at 1.3050. It was once low And hit the wave 50%, 1.3028. It was finally expected to be well-received by the Brexit. The pound rebounded against the US dollar and approached the 1.31.
The overall performance of the US Dow was still weak and the trend was down. Asian stock markets generally fell. The Nikkei index has been declining from the high level in early October, and the dollar has fallen against the yen. It fell below the 113 mark last night. The market is watching, US Treasury bond yields hit record high in 7 year and the funds will withdraw by any central bank. The short-term dollar may start to fall.
Tomorrow and Thursday, the United States announced the relevant inflation data such as the September production price index and the consumer price index respectively. In addition, the market expectation that US interest rates and government bond yields will reach short-term highs will affect the inflation slowdown.
Today's suggestion:
EURUSD
1.1515/1.1535 resistance
1.1465/1.1450 support
The market continues to care about the emerging market currency and economic confidence in Europe, but the current US Treasury yields are rising, short-term US dollar funds may be adjusted, and there is an opportunity to drive the euro to rebound. The market is waiting to see the performance of US inflation data this week. If the inflation data slows down and the dollar falls, it will organically rebound. Short-term technical position, the euro against the dollar focused on 1.1465 important support, short-term resistance above the resistance of 1.1535.
GBPUSD
1.3105/1.3125 resistance
1.3045/1.3030 support
The euro fell yesterday, while the impact of the pound fell below the 1.3080 and 1.3065 short-term important support range. If it falls, Pound will try the 1.30. Fortunately, market rumors, the Brexit negotiations are expected to reach a bilateral trade agreement between the EU summit before the end of the month, and finally boost the pound. It is currently estimated that the fundamentals still support the pound, but before the US inflation data is released, there is still a chance to overwhelm the pound under the strong dollar, and it is recommended to be cautious when trading.
USDCHF
0.9950/0.9970 resistance
0.9885/0.9865 support
Switzerland's unemployment rate improved in September, but remained weak in the euro, indirectly suppressing the Swiss franc, and did not help rebound. Because the Swiss National Bank intends to cancel the bank customer data protection law, Swiss banks will lose tax havens, causing local client funds to flow out, causing the Swiss franc to fall. Technically, the resistance of the US dollar against the Swiss francs of 0.9950 and 0.9970 can still be guaranteed, and the US dollar has an opportunity to adjust against the Swiss franc. However, the overall trend still needs to pay attention to the euro-dollar change. If the US and Europe rise, it will help the dollar fall against the Swiss franc. In the short-term, the market is still optimistic about the inflation data released by the US this week to curb the Swiss franc.
USD/JPY
113.35/113.50 resistance
112.65/112.50 support
The Nikkei index continued to fall, the Japanese trade account deficit widened sharply, and the stock market was affected, which became a depreciation of the dollar against the yen. In addition, after the quarterly settlement in Japan, funds returned to Japan, accelerating the rise of the yen. Moreover, the US government is targeting Japan's trade deficit with the United States and intends to suppress Japan. It is rumored that the Bank of Japan's reduction of US Treasury bonds may trigger a new round of strong yen, and the mid-term USD/JPY trend has the opportunity to test 111 levels.
AUDUSD
0.7090/0.7110 resistance
0.7065/0.7040 support
The recent Australian economic indicators data is not good, Australia consumer confidence index also fell, but the Australian dollar rebounded after the news. Technically, the Australian dollar maintained a resistance of 0.7090 against the US dollar. If the resistance is broken, the trend of the AUD is expected to improve.
NZDUSD
0.6435/0.6420 support
0.6465/0.6480 resistance
Australia's economic data is poor, the Australian dollar fell, indirectly affecting the New Zealand dollar. However, after the results of the bad data were released, the market waited for the US inflation data for the next few days, and the New Zealand dollar gradually rose. Technically, the New Zealand dollar trend reference resistance is 0.6465 and 0.6480.
USD/CAD
1.2980/1.3000 resistance
1.2945/1.2925 support
Oil prices fell in the early part of last night, and the dollar tested 1.30 against the Canadian dollar. But oil prices rebounded from $73, boosting the Canadian dollar. In addition, last week Canada announced a significant improvement in the job market report and trade accounts, which has been positive for the Canadian dollar. If oil prices keep rising, the US dollar has a chance to test 1.2925 support against the Canadian dollar.
EUR/GBP
0.8790/0.8805 resistance
0.8760/0.8745 support
The European negotiations are progressing well, boosting the pound, the pound is strong, and the euro continues to fall against the pound. If there is good news in euro zone, or bad news in the UK, it will boost the euro against the pound, otherwise the euro will continue to decline against the pound.
EURCHF
1.1420/1.1435 resistance
1.1380/1.1375 support
Technically, the euro continued to adjust to the downside against the Swiss franc. Fundamentally, the euro is weaker than the Swiss franc. If the euro has a chance to rise against the dollar, the Swiss franc will stand still against the dollar and the euro will have a chance to rise against the Swiss franc.
XAUUSD
1187/1185 support
1195/1197 resistance
US Treasury yields continue to rise, and funds flow to US debt, which increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. In addition, the Fed’s hawkish remarks have caused the market to worry about US inflation data this week. It is expected that the Fed’s interest rate hike will drop sharply and fall to 1184 to find support. Before the market waits for US inflation data, gold curbs the increase, and it is expected that it will be difficult to recover the $1,200 mark in the short term.
US crude oil futures:
74.80/75.15 resistance
73.45/73.05 support
Saudi Arabian Lafa said that it will increase the supply of crude oil and increase production next month. The market is worried that other organizations will follow, so that the oil price has been adjusted to 73 US dollars. Last night, Russia and other members of OPEC indicated that they did not intend to increase production. Also other analysts believe that this year oil prices are expected to challenge $100 and boost oil prices. Note that the US announced crude oil inventories tomorrow, and it is recommended to pay attention to oil price fluctuations.
BTCUSD:
6700 / 6850 resistance
6330 /6260 support
US 10 year treasury bond yield hit 7 year record high, it could be money inflow to bond rather than cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency investment have a downside risk. Now, the bitcoin maintain 6500 and observe the performance of the US CPI this week.
Hope you enjoy and have happy trade! The content is for reference only. Please do ensure that you understand the risk.
Information provided by ATFX, Chief Analyst of Asia Pacific: Martin Lam
Registered Australian Accountant/ Certified Professional Manager / Certified Financial
Advisor Experienced Investor / Media Market Commentator Martin Lam has Over 17 years’ experience in global investment market. Familiar with the worldwide stock indices, precious metals such Gold and Silver, Crude oil and Forex. He operated Martin Currency Trading Company and had partnership with a number of well-known international financial corporations and institutions. Before he join ATFX, he was TeleTrade Greater China development and Sales Director. Mr. Lam attends Hong Kong Now TV and China CCTV finance channel once a week. He also had regularly invited by different media, such as DBC Digital Financial Channel, Hong Kong Economic Times, The Standard, Ming Pao to share his experience to trade in Forex, Precious metals, Crude oil and worldwide stock indices.
Contact: cs.gm@atfx.com or wechat: ATFX_China
Legal: ATFX is a trading name of AT Global Markets Limited (ATGM, registration number 24226 IBC 2017). ATGM is an International Business Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Registered address is : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
Investors' confidence in the Eurozone continued to fall in October. Although German industrial output improved, it still contracted. The performance of the euro against the US dollar remained sluggish, below 1.1500. The pound was once dragged down by the fall of the euro, falling short of support at 1.3050. It was once low And hit the wave 50%, 1.3028. It was finally expected to be well-received by the Brexit. The pound rebounded against the US dollar and approached the 1.31.
The overall performance of the US Dow was still weak and the trend was down. Asian stock markets generally fell. The Nikkei index has been declining from the high level in early October, and the dollar has fallen against the yen. It fell below the 113 mark last night. The market is watching, US Treasury bond yields hit record high in 7 year and the funds will withdraw by any central bank. The short-term dollar may start to fall.
Tomorrow and Thursday, the United States announced the relevant inflation data such as the September production price index and the consumer price index respectively. In addition, the market expectation that US interest rates and government bond yields will reach short-term highs will affect the inflation slowdown.
Today's suggestion:
EURUSD
1.1515/1.1535 resistance
1.1465/1.1450 support
The market continues to care about the emerging market currency and economic confidence in Europe, but the current US Treasury yields are rising, short-term US dollar funds may be adjusted, and there is an opportunity to drive the euro to rebound. The market is waiting to see the performance of US inflation data this week. If the inflation data slows down and the dollar falls, it will organically rebound. Short-term technical position, the euro against the dollar focused on 1.1465 important support, short-term resistance above the resistance of 1.1535.
GBPUSD
1.3105/1.3125 resistance
1.3045/1.3030 support
The euro fell yesterday, while the impact of the pound fell below the 1.3080 and 1.3065 short-term important support range. If it falls, Pound will try the 1.30. Fortunately, market rumors, the Brexit negotiations are expected to reach a bilateral trade agreement between the EU summit before the end of the month, and finally boost the pound. It is currently estimated that the fundamentals still support the pound, but before the US inflation data is released, there is still a chance to overwhelm the pound under the strong dollar, and it is recommended to be cautious when trading.
USDCHF
0.9950/0.9970 resistance
0.9885/0.9865 support
Switzerland's unemployment rate improved in September, but remained weak in the euro, indirectly suppressing the Swiss franc, and did not help rebound. Because the Swiss National Bank intends to cancel the bank customer data protection law, Swiss banks will lose tax havens, causing local client funds to flow out, causing the Swiss franc to fall. Technically, the resistance of the US dollar against the Swiss francs of 0.9950 and 0.9970 can still be guaranteed, and the US dollar has an opportunity to adjust against the Swiss franc. However, the overall trend still needs to pay attention to the euro-dollar change. If the US and Europe rise, it will help the dollar fall against the Swiss franc. In the short-term, the market is still optimistic about the inflation data released by the US this week to curb the Swiss franc.
USD/JPY
113.35/113.50 resistance
112.65/112.50 support
The Nikkei index continued to fall, the Japanese trade account deficit widened sharply, and the stock market was affected, which became a depreciation of the dollar against the yen. In addition, after the quarterly settlement in Japan, funds returned to Japan, accelerating the rise of the yen. Moreover, the US government is targeting Japan's trade deficit with the United States and intends to suppress Japan. It is rumored that the Bank of Japan's reduction of US Treasury bonds may trigger a new round of strong yen, and the mid-term USD/JPY trend has the opportunity to test 111 levels.
AUDUSD
0.7090/0.7110 resistance
0.7065/0.7040 support
The recent Australian economic indicators data is not good, Australia consumer confidence index also fell, but the Australian dollar rebounded after the news. Technically, the Australian dollar maintained a resistance of 0.7090 against the US dollar. If the resistance is broken, the trend of the AUD is expected to improve.
NZDUSD
0.6435/0.6420 support
0.6465/0.6480 resistance
Australia's economic data is poor, the Australian dollar fell, indirectly affecting the New Zealand dollar. However, after the results of the bad data were released, the market waited for the US inflation data for the next few days, and the New Zealand dollar gradually rose. Technically, the New Zealand dollar trend reference resistance is 0.6465 and 0.6480.
USD/CAD
1.2980/1.3000 resistance
1.2945/1.2925 support
Oil prices fell in the early part of last night, and the dollar tested 1.30 against the Canadian dollar. But oil prices rebounded from $73, boosting the Canadian dollar. In addition, last week Canada announced a significant improvement in the job market report and trade accounts, which has been positive for the Canadian dollar. If oil prices keep rising, the US dollar has a chance to test 1.2925 support against the Canadian dollar.
EUR/GBP
0.8790/0.8805 resistance
0.8760/0.8745 support
The European negotiations are progressing well, boosting the pound, the pound is strong, and the euro continues to fall against the pound. If there is good news in euro zone, or bad news in the UK, it will boost the euro against the pound, otherwise the euro will continue to decline against the pound.
EURCHF
1.1420/1.1435 resistance
1.1380/1.1375 support
Technically, the euro continued to adjust to the downside against the Swiss franc. Fundamentally, the euro is weaker than the Swiss franc. If the euro has a chance to rise against the dollar, the Swiss franc will stand still against the dollar and the euro will have a chance to rise against the Swiss franc.
XAUUSD
1187/1185 support
1195/1197 resistance
US Treasury yields continue to rise, and funds flow to US debt, which increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. In addition, the Fed’s hawkish remarks have caused the market to worry about US inflation data this week. It is expected that the Fed’s interest rate hike will drop sharply and fall to 1184 to find support. Before the market waits for US inflation data, gold curbs the increase, and it is expected that it will be difficult to recover the $1,200 mark in the short term.
US crude oil futures:
74.80/75.15 resistance
73.45/73.05 support
Saudi Arabian Lafa said that it will increase the supply of crude oil and increase production next month. The market is worried that other organizations will follow, so that the oil price has been adjusted to 73 US dollars. Last night, Russia and other members of OPEC indicated that they did not intend to increase production. Also other analysts believe that this year oil prices are expected to challenge $100 and boost oil prices. Note that the US announced crude oil inventories tomorrow, and it is recommended to pay attention to oil price fluctuations.
BTCUSD:
6700 / 6850 resistance
6330 /6260 support
US 10 year treasury bond yield hit 7 year record high, it could be money inflow to bond rather than cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency investment have a downside risk. Now, the bitcoin maintain 6500 and observe the performance of the US CPI this week.
Hope you enjoy and have happy trade! The content is for reference only. Please do ensure that you understand the risk.
Information provided by ATFX, Chief Analyst of Asia Pacific: Martin Lam
Registered Australian Accountant/ Certified Professional Manager / Certified Financial
Advisor Experienced Investor / Media Market Commentator Martin Lam has Over 17 years’ experience in global investment market. Familiar with the worldwide stock indices, precious metals such Gold and Silver, Crude oil and Forex. He operated Martin Currency Trading Company and had partnership with a number of well-known international financial corporations and institutions. Before he join ATFX, he was TeleTrade Greater China development and Sales Director. Mr. Lam attends Hong Kong Now TV and China CCTV finance channel once a week. He also had regularly invited by different media, such as DBC Digital Financial Channel, Hong Kong Economic Times, The Standard, Ming Pao to share his experience to trade in Forex, Precious metals, Crude oil and worldwide stock indices.
Contact: cs.gm@atfx.com or wechat: ATFX_China
Legal: ATFX is a trading name of AT Global Markets Limited (ATGM, registration number 24226 IBC 2017). ATGM is an International Business Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Registered address is : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.