AceTraderFx March 26: Dailly Technical Outlook on Major –USD/CHF

[acetraderfx]

DAILY USD/CHF TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 26 Mar 2014 02:16GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Turning up

21 HR EMA
0.8830

55 HR EMA
0.8827

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Neutral

13 HR RSI
53

14 HR DMI
+ve

Daily Analysis
Consolidation with downside bias

Resistance
0.8930 - Feb 26 high
0.8895 - Mar 05 high
0.8880 - Y'day's high

Support
0.8788 - Mon's low
0.8769 - Last Tue's high, now sup
0.8729 - Last Wed's Aust. low


. USD/CHF - 0.8845... The greenback swung fm gains to losses in choppy trading
on Tuesday. Despite rising steadily in Europe n a brief break above last week's
high of 0.8869 to 0.8880 in NY due to weakness in eur/usd, intra-day rebound in
euro led to long liquidation in dlr n price retreated strongly to 0.8813.

. Despite dlr's aforesaid rise to a 2-week high of 0.8880, as this lvl was
accompanied by prominent 'bearish divergences' on the hourly oscillators, subse-
quent decline to 0.8813 suggests recent erratic upmove fm Mar's fresh 2-year
trough at 0.8698 has possibly made a temporary top there n 1-2 days of consolida
tion with downside bias is in store, breach of 0.8788 sup wud add credence to
this view, then further weakness to 0.8768 (61.8% r of 0.8698-0.8880) wud follow
, however, below 0.8733 (80.9% r) needed to signal correction is over n yield
re-test of 0.8698 later next week.

. In view of abv analysis, we're turning short on dlr on intra-day recovery
in anticipation of initial weakness twd 0.8788 with stop abv said Tue's high, as
break there wud risk marginal gain to 0.8890/95, however, loss of upward momen-
tum shud prevent strg gain today n daily res at 0.8930 shud remain intact.

 

[acetraderfx]

AceTraderFx March 31: Weekly Technical Outlook on Major –USD/CHF

WEEKLY USD/CHF TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 30 Mar 2014 23:21GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Turning up

21 HR EMA
0.8869

55 HR EMA
0.8863

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Turning down

13 HR RSI
59

14 HR DMI
-ve

Daily Analysis
Consolidation with a neutral bias

Resistance
0.8981 - 61.8% r of 0.9156-0.8698
0.8930 - Feb 26 high
0.8899 - Last Fri's high

Support
0.8834 - last Wed's low
0.8813 - Last Tue's NY low
0.8788 - Last Mon's low


. USD/CHF - 0.8873...The greenback swung wildly in opposite direction to
eur/usd last week. Despite initial brief but sharp retreat to 0.8788on Mon,
renewed weakness in eur/usd helped price ratchet higher to a 4-week high of 0.8899
on Fri b4 coming off to 0.8850 in NY due to selling in eur/chf cross.

. Looking at the bigger picture, dlr's erratic rise fm Mar's near 2-1/2
year trough at 0.8698 to as high as 0.8899 Fri signals MT downtrend fm 2012 peak
at 0.9972 (Jul) has formed a temporary low there n as daily technical indicators
are turning up, suggesting consolidation with upside bias remains for further
gain to next daily chart obj. at 0.8930, then 0.8981, this is the 'dynamic'
61.8% r of intermediate fall fm 0.9156 to 0.8698, however, abv there is needed
to retain bullish prospect of further headway twd next chart res at 0.9082 in
Apr/May. Having said that, as Fri's high was accompanied by prominent 'bearish
divergences' on the hourly oscillators' readings, suggesting initial consolida-
tion is in store this week b4 prospect of further gain to indicated targets.

. Today, expect sideways trading below 0.8899 with downside bias, as long
as 0.8813 sup holds, bullishness remains n only below 0.8788 risks 0.8737/42.