Daily Market news by olofx.com

[olofx]

23 January Report

CURRENCIES
Euro (1.3550) is making an accept Flag and may fall towards 1.34-1.33 on a shatter underneath 1.3500-30. Upside examines limited to 1.3600 for the instant as the tendency continues firmly down.
Dollar-Yen (104.58) has rebound back from our support zone of 103.65-104 to reassert the longer period uptrend. The rally may goal 107 now overhead the major opposition of 105.40-60.
The Euro-Yen traverse (141.69) has come to 142 in line with our expectation but in a very laborious kind. The structure continues weak and farther upside examines restricted to 143-143.30. A shatter below 140 may pull it to 138.50-140.
The pound (1.6569) is hitting the top end of the band at 1.66. A firm move above 1.6600-50 would pointer the long period uptrend reasserting itself and goals of 1.6750 & 1.69 would open.
The Aussie (0.8804) has been turned down from our resistance of 0.89. Now only a move after the range of 0.87 and 0.89 would work out the next broader movement.

 

[olofx]

Fundamental Analysis 24/01/2014
The Euro (1.3680) glimpsed a stellar rise yesterday, first breaking above the earlier opposition at 1.3600 on the powerful Eurozone PMI facts and figures and then benefitting from the pointed dip in the US-10Yr yield to 2.79%. The rally has recouped all of last week's losses. A farther increase in the direction of 1.38 could be seen unless trading arrives in at present grades and impels the market underneath 1.3650.
Dollar-Yen (103.51) fallen harshly yesterday to check 55-day MA at 102.97 yesterday, but has rebound a bit from there today. Our bullishness has received a bit of a setback and perhaps we have to address chances of a sideways variety of 103-105 for a while.
The Euro-Yen Cross (141.60) has been steady yesterday as both the Euro and the Yen have profited identically against the Dollar. anticipate a obliquely variety of 141-143 for a couple of days.
The Pound (1.6632) is sustaining its upmove and a rise past 1.6650 can see it target 1.69-70.
The Aussie (0.8764) dropped harshly yesterday, strike by the feeble Chinese PMI, and could be in danger of seeing a collapse in the direction of 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

Fundamental Analysis 27/01/2014
CURRENCIES
The Euro (1.3687) checked the major tendency decider grade of 1.3750. It should shatter overhead 1.3750 to extend the rally or else the bears may come down very strongly one time again.
Dollar-Yen (102.40) has reached nearer to the foremost support level of 101.50-101.90, below which the end of the bull market will be signaled.
The Euro-Yen traverses (140.13) may continue the weakness farther to 138.60-139 as long as it stays below 141.50.
The Cable (1.6499) is a relative outperformer and may trade in the variety of 1.6350-1.67 for some time more.
The Aussie (0.8704), strike by the feeble Chinese PMI, is suspending to the major support of 0.87 precariously and could be in hazard of glimpsing a meltdown in the direction of 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

Fundamentals Reports 29-01-2014

The Euro (1.3663) is not doing much after testing the foremost tendency decider grade of 1.3750. It must shatter above 1.3750 to extend the rally or additional the bears may arrive down very strongly once afresh. foremost move is anticipated only after the broader variety of 1.3500-1.3750.

Dollar-Yen (103.13) has rebound from the major support grade of 101.50-101.90 but for the strength to come back, it should shatter overhead 103.70-90 and 105.

The Euro-Yen traverse (140.87) is close to the opposition of 141.50 overhead which the major provide zone of 142.25-50 is waiting. It may continue the flaw farther to the foremost demand zone of 138.60-139 as long as it resides underneath 142.50.The bounce doesn’t gaze very powerful functionally.

The Pound (1.6580) is a relative outperformer and may trade in the variety of 1.6350-1.67 for some time more.

The Aussie (0.8806) has rebound from the major support of 0.87 but must go overhead 0.89 to make it significant. else, it could be in danger of glimpsing a meltdown in the direction of 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

Fundamental Analysis 30/1/2014
CURRENCIES
The Euro (1.3651) is mirroring the identical indifference to global events as the Dollar index after testing the foremost trend decider level of 1.3750. It should shatter overhead 1.3750 to continue the rally or additional the bears may arrive down heavily one time again. foremost move is anticipated only after the broader variety of 1.3500-1.3750.
Dollar-Yen (102.18) is checking the bull market characterising support grade of 101.50-101.90 but for the strength to come back, it must shatter overhead 103.70-90 and 105.
The Euro-Yen traverse (139.48) was rejected sharply from our opposition of 141.50 to come to our goal of 139 as the feeble structure cited before displayed its true hue. The fall may extend to 138.45 and 137 underneath that while residual underneath 141.50.
The Pound (1.6557) remains in its own world as a comparative outperformer and may trade in the variety of 1.6350-1.67 for some time more.
The Aussie (0.8732) has rebound from the major support of 0.87 but should proceed overhead 0.89 to make it significant. else, it could be in hazard of seeing a meltdown in the direction of 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

Fundamental Analysis 31/1/2014
The Euro (1.3550) accelerated its drop to check the important support zone of 1.35-1.3540 after failing to break overhead the foremost trend decider grade of 1.3750 in line with our expectation. A shatter underneath 1.35 may pull it down to 1.33 and 1.31 fast.
Dollar-Yen (102.18) is consolidating beside the bull market characterising support level of 101.50-101.90 but for the strength to come back, it should shatter overhead 103.70-90 and 105.
The Euro-Yen traverse (139.23) was rejected harshly from our opposition of 141.50 to come to our goal of 139 as the weak structure cited before showed its factual hue. The drop may continue to 138.45 and 137 underneath that while residual underneath 141.50.
The Pound (1.6480) remains in its own world as a relative outperformer and may trade in the variety of 1.6350-1.67 for some time more.
The Aussie (0.8796) has rebound from the foremost support of 0.87 but should proceed overhead 0.89 to make it significant. else, it could be in hazard of seeing a collapse towards 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

Fundamental Analysis 3/02/2014
The Euro (1.3550) indicated a move in the direction of 1.33 and even 1.31 as it has broken the significant support zone of 1.35-1.3540 after falling short to shatter overhead the foremost tendency decider grade of 1.3750 in line with our anticipation. The bearish impetus may boost underneath 1.3450 while any possible rebound may face good trading force.
Dollar-Yen (102.37) is consolidating beside the bull market characterising support grade of 101.50-101.90 but for the strength to come back, it must break overhead 103.70-90 and 105.
The Euro-Yen Cross (138.03) accomplished our first goal of 138.45 and made a reduced very close to our second target of 137. Holding this reduced of 137.45, it may try to rebound in the direction of 139.50 but all rallies are expected to be sold into.
The POUND (1.6424) remains in its own world as a comparative outperformer and may trade in the variety of 1.6350-1.67 for some time more.
The Aussie (0.8746) has bounced from the foremost support of 0.87 but must go overhead 0.8830 and then 0.89 to make it significant. else, it could be in hazard of glimpsing a meltdown in the direction of 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

Fundamental Analysis 4/02/2014
The Euro (1.3511) is checking the opposition zone of 1.3540-75 now after it indicated a move in the direction of 1.33 and even 1.31. The bearish momentum may increase underneath 1.3450 while any likely bounce may face good selling force.
Dollar-Yen (101.24) is firmly trading below the bull market characterising support grade of 101.50-101.90 to signal the accept market. Staying underneath 102.50-103.50, we may glimpse a excursion in the direction of 98 in the coming days.
The Euro-Yen traverse (136.88) achieved our second target of 137 too and got nearer to the major support of 135. No sign of power is evident yet and all rallies may face good trading force.
Even the cable (1.6302) could not escape this carnage and dwindled to 1.63, below which a fall to 1.6175-1.62 is likely. A shatter of 1.617 would open a gigantic downside.
The Aussie (0.8757), currently beaten blue and black, is somewhat unscathed after it has bounced from the major support of 0.87 but must proceed overhead 0.8830 and then 0.89 to make it significant. Otherwise, it could be in hazard of seeing a collapse in the direction of 0.8500.

 

[olofx]

The Euro (1.3706) managed to break above 1.3690 to reach closer to the major resistance of 1.3750, above which it may rally quickly towards 1.38-1.39 but at this point, the strength looks a bit suspect. Failing to break and sustain above 1.3750 could take it to 1.36 again before further rally.
Dollar-Yen (101.95) has come lower as expected but the momentum is lacking. Though staying below 101.60-102 may take it lower but keep an eye for any sudden attempt to rally, especially if it manages to break above 102.20-25..
The Euro-Yen Cross (139.73) has to break and stay above 140.40 to rise further towards 142. Otherwise it may correct to 138 before any more rally. It has bounced from a major monthly trendline support at 136.20 to break above 138 to negate any immediate fall.
Pound (1.6727) has signaled the next phase of the major uptrend has resumed and now it has reached our first target of 1.6750. It may reach 1.69-1.7050 next. All the dips till 1.6460-10 may be bought into.
The Aussie (0.9064) is close to our major resistance of 0.91 again after bouncing from 0.8925 levels in line with our expectation with a positive bias but the strength remains suspect until 0.91 is broken above. Below 0.8925-0.89 it may reach 0.8830-0.8730.

 

[olofx]

Daily Fundamental Analysis
11/03/2014
The yen remained trapped in narrow ranges in Asian trade on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan stood pat and gave no indication that further easing steps were in the cards yet.
Data on Monday underscored the economic recovery remains fragile. Japan posted a record current account deficit in January, and its fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth was revised down, suggesting the effects of the BOJ's easing might have already begun to wane. A Reuters poll last month showed economists expect the BOJ to ease policy further around the middle of the year, as they say it will otherwise be difficult to meet the bank's 2 percent inflation target. The dollar and euro slow against the Japanese currency, nearly flat on the day. The greenback bought 103.30 yen, after wavering in a 103.20-103.43 yen range, while the single currency changed hands at 143.22, after trading between 143.08 and 143.44.
The dollar was little changed against major currencies, supported by hopes U.S. job growth would pick up in the wake of last week's mildly encouraging report on hiring and as tension over Ukraine remained contained. The dollar index was barely changed against a basket of major currencies inching up slightly to 79.804.
The EUR/USD edged down about 0.1 percent to 1.3865 but remained not far from a 2-1/2-year peak of 1.3915 touched on Friday. The euro's resilience held up even as the crisis in Ukraine continued. A pro-Russian force opened fire in seizing a Ukrainian military base in Crimea on Monday and NATO announced reconnaissance flights along its eastern frontiers.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars showed noticeable resilience on Tuesday after worries about China's economy hit commodity prices hard. The AUD/USD often used as a liquid proxy for China plays because of its sensitivity to developments in Australia's largest export market, was up about 0.1 percent at 0.9021.Support for the Aussie is seen around 0.9000, then 0.8985 with resistance at 0.9070 according to analysts.