@ Peter.
According to many FX Economic calendars including FPA and the data on FNG says the Forecast is 1.7 for the UK CPI, whereas the expected figure is 1.9 in your trade plan.
1.9 was the previous actual outcome when the expected figure was 2.0.
Is this a mistake ? or there is some working logic behind your choice. Please help I am confused whether to use 0.3 deviation from 1.9 or 1.7 ?
Still having issues with the FNG since friday, no actuals, no forecast, no date or time of the news, am i alone or is this general?
@ Peter.
According to many FX Economic calendars including FPA and the data on FNG says the Forecast is 1.7 for the UK CPI, whereas the expected figure is 1.9 in your trade plan.
1.9 was the previous actual outcome when the expected figure was 2.0.
Is this a mistake ? or there is some working logic behind your choice. Please help I am confused whether to use 0.3 deviation from 1.9 or 1.7 ?
I see this a lot. There's a difference between the expected figure in the forum and the number on the FNG. Peter, which one is more accurate?
Thanks.
In this case difference of 0.2 is really big. Usually it's much less compared to triggering deviation.
One thing is that I tend to check multiple sources and this causes difference. The other thing is that forecast values can change even in the last one or two days because new data coming in to the news agencies and that may affect the average. It tells me that it's worth to double check numbers right before announcement - and it would be a nice feature to update trade plans accordingly.