Forex News Trading Plans for Week 3, Jan 12 – Jan 18 2014

Peter O

Special Consultant to the FPA
Messages
4,790

What is news trading? How does forex news trading work?

Forex News Trading can be extremely profitable if you have an understanding of fundamental analysis and have access to low latency forex trading software. Sounds too complex or expensive? Do not worry, Forex Peace Army analyst will help you to identify high-probability tradable economic news reports and advise on the trading strategy. Best of all: Forex News Gun - automated forex trading software is free for all. You find all details on Forex News Gun forum and if you want make pips easier you can find additional tools at Forex Tactical Squad.

-–––———————————————————————————————————–––-

Hello Fellow Traders,

On this week (January 12 - January 18) we have 5 tradable releases:


-–––————— Tuesday, January 14 —————–––-
(brief summary)
UKCPI4:30am NY timeFNG + DTS
USACore Retail Sales8:30am NY timeFNG + DTS


-–––————— Wednesday, January 15 —————–––-
(brief summary)
AustraliaEmployment Change7:30pm NY timeFNG + DTS


-–––————— Thursday, January 16 —————–––-
(brief summary)
USACore CPI8:30am NY timeFNG


-–––————— Friday, January 17 —————–––-
(brief summary)

UKRetail Sales4:30am NY timeFNG + DTS



Sincerely,
Peter
 
Last edited:

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Forex News Gun Trade Plan

UK CPI - 4:30am NY time (Tuesday, January 14)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded pairExpected figureDeviation trigger
GBPUSD2.1 (%)±0.3 (%)
BuyGBPUSDif actual figure is or is above2.4 (%)
SellGBPUSDif actual figure is or is below1.8 (%)

Expected move during first 30 minutes after the release is 20 pips or more.


--–––––————— FNG Configuration —————–––––--

Release name in FNG client: UK CPI EU Harmonized YoY

Clicks: first row is for Sell GBPUSD button, second one is for Buy GBPUSD button:




--–––––————— Detailed Trade Plan —————–––––--​

1. Start trade terminal
- Open your trade terminal and open an order sending dialog with Buy and Sell buttons.​
- Select GBPUSD pair.​
- Set your lot size - use your constant risk level on balance.​

2. Start Forex News Gun client
- Open your Forex News Gun client ( and ) and click 'Connect...'.​
- Drag the FNG window aside in order to make trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons visible.​

3. Set a click
- Click the 'Set Click' button in the row of UK CPI.​
- Double click on first row's 'Range To' cell. Type '1.8' and hit Enter.​
- Click first row's 'Click Location' button.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Sell button but don't click. We just show FNG where it is by pressing 'S' key while mouse cursor is over the Sell button. You will see the screen coordinates appearing in the FNG client.​
- Double click on second row's 'Range From' cell. Type '2.4' and hit Enter.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Buy button but don't click. Press 'S' key there to register button location in FNG client.​
- Click OK on this 'Set Clicks' window​

4. Keep trading environment intact
- Make sure that your pc, trade terminal and FNG client is running at the time of the release: Tuesday, January 14, 4:30am NY time.​
- Make sure that trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons are visible at that time in order to catch screen clicks from FNG client.​

Now you have an automated news trading entry environment that will enter the market in a fraction of a second if this release figure hits the deviation. Nevertheless, don't forget to be at the PC at the time of the release in order to manage your position and to take that pips on the first spike that lasts no longer than several minutes.

I cannot tell you where to exit in relation to your entry, because entries during news vary greatly, due to different spreads, slippage, and other factors. For this reason, it’s extremely important that you review historical charts for UK CPI, where the same deviation of at least 0.3 occurred. Click here to see such history: UK CPI history of charts.

Once there, set filter to Difference Actual-Forecast >= 0.3 and click "Filter" to see list of charts.

If the release figure doesn't hit the deviation then FNG client won't click so you can either close it or set the next release. In this case don't forget to change currency pair if needed according to the new release details. Don't be surprised if most of the releases don't trigger. This is a conservative strategy and according to my statistics only every 4th or 5th release opens a position by hitting the deviation.

You can try to make money "while you sleep" with this. To do that, set it up on stable computer or server with stable internet connection, and pre-set your stop/loss and take/profit targets with your broker. As long as the platform and FNG remain open, your trade will be executed and exited automatically.

To get even more creative with FNG, when setting up clicks, you can set up first click instantly on let’s say "Buy". Then you can set up second click with let’s say 20 minutes delay on let’s say "Sell" to automatically close your buy trade 20 minutes later. To do that, simply put 20 into the MM field next to the second click, and identify the "Sell" location. HH stands for hours. MM stands for minutes. SS stands for seconds. MS stands for milliseconds. The software will delay any click by your specified desired time parameters.

Due to so many releases not hitting the specified parameters, and due to them being released at such different time frames, being able to set it up, and leave it on auto-pilot may be attractive to some people, though it will be more risky.

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--
O O O
--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

UK CPI - 4:30am NY time (Tuesday, January 14)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded currency pair:GBPUSD
Initial spike duration limit:20 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold:15 pips
Triggering retracement percentage:50 %
Retracement duration limit:60 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release:15 minutes
Stop loss:10 pips
Take profit:10 pips
Maximum spread:2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 04:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of GBPUSD on your chart.

  3. If between 04:30:00am and 04:30:20am, so during the first 20 seconds after the report, you see GBPUSD move up or down by 15 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 50% retracement if it occurs in 60 seconds from release time (till 04:31:00am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 50% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 15 pips during the first 20 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 04:45:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on January 25 2013, at 4:30am, UK CPI number was released, so in the first 20 seconds, the price of GBPUSD spiked down by 42.1 pips from 1.58097 to 1.57676. Then price started retracing, and within about 90 seconds retraced to 20% level of 1.57759 but it didn't continue retracing. This retracement was lower than trade plan's minimal 50% level so we didn't enter the market.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--
O O O
--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Forex News Gun Trade Plan

USA Core Retail Sales - 8:30am NY time (Tuesday, January 14)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded pairExpected figureDeviation trigger
USDJPY0.4 (%)±0.5 (%)
BuyUSDJPYif actual figure is or is above0.9 (%)
SellUSDJPYif actual figure is or is below-0.1 (%)

Expected move during first 30 minutes after the release is 20 pips or more.


--–––––————— FNG Configuration —————–––––--

Release name in FNG client: US Adjusted Retail Sales Less Autos

Clicks: first row is for Sell USDJPY button, second one is for Buy USDJPY button:




--–––––————— Detailed Trade Plan —————–––––--​

1. Start trade terminal
- Open your trade terminal and open an order sending dialog with Buy and Sell buttons.​
- Select USDJPY pair.​
- Set your lot size - use your constant risk level on balance.​

2. Start Forex News Gun client
- Open your Forex News Gun client ( and ) and click 'Connect...'.​
- Drag the FNG window aside in order to make trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons visible.​

3. Set a click
- Click the 'Set Click' button in the row of USA Core Retail Sales.​
- Double click on first row's 'Range To' cell. Type '-0.1' and hit Enter.​
- Click first row's 'Click Location' button.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Sell button but don't click. We just show FNG where it is by pressing 'S' key while mouse cursor is over the Sell button. You will see the screen coordinates appearing in the FNG client.​
- Double click on second row's 'Range From' cell. Type '0.9' and hit Enter.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Buy button but don't click. Press 'S' key there to register button location in FNG client.​
- Click OK on this 'Set Clicks' window​

4. Keep trading environment intact
- Make sure that your pc, trade terminal and FNG client is running at the time of the release: Tuesday, January 14, 8:30am NY time.​
- Make sure that trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons are visible at that time in order to catch screen clicks from FNG client.​

Now you have an automated news trading entry environment that will enter the market in a fraction of a second if this release figure hits the deviation. Nevertheless, don't forget to be at the PC at the time of the release in order to manage your position and to take that pips on the first spike that lasts no longer than several minutes.

I cannot tell you where to exit in relation to your entry, because entries during news vary greatly, due to different spreads, slippage, and other factors. For this reason, it’s extremely important that you review historical charts for USA Core Retail Sales, where the same deviation of at least 0.5 occurred. Click here to see such history: USA Core Retail Sales history of charts.

Once there, set filter to Difference Actual-Forecast >= 0.5 and click "Filter" to see list of charts.

If the release figure doesn't hit the deviation then FNG client won't click so you can either close it or set the next release. In this case don't forget to change currency pair if needed according to the new release details. Don't be surprised if most of the releases don't trigger. This is a conservative strategy and according to my statistics only every 4th or 5th release opens a position by hitting the deviation.

You can try to make money "while you sleep" with this. To do that, set it up on stable computer or server with stable internet connection, and pre-set your stop/loss and take/profit targets with your broker. As long as the platform and FNG remain open, your trade will be executed and exited automatically.

To get even more creative with FNG, when setting up clicks, you can set up first click instantly on let’s say "Buy". Then you can set up second click with let’s say 20 minutes delay on let’s say "Sell" to automatically close your buy trade 20 minutes later. To do that, simply put 20 into the MM field next to the second click, and identify the "Sell" location. HH stands for hours. MM stands for minutes. SS stands for seconds. MS stands for milliseconds. The software will delay any click by your specified desired time parameters.

Due to so many releases not hitting the specified parameters, and due to them being released at such different time frames, being able to set it up, and leave it on auto-pilot may be attractive to some people, though it will be more risky.

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--
O O O
--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

USA Core Retail Sales - 8:30am NY time (Tuesday, January 14)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded currency pair:USDJPY
Initial spike duration limit:15 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold:8 pips
Triggering retracement percentage:35 %
Retracement duration limit:40 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release:15 minutes
Stop loss:8 pips
Take profit:8 pips
Maximum spread:2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 8 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 8 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 08:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDJPY on your chart.

  3. If between 08:30:00am and 08:30:15am, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see USDJPY move up or down by 8 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 35% retracement if it occurs in 40 seconds from release time (till 08:30:40am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 8 pips, and set take/profit at 8 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 35% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 8 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 08:45:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on July 16 2012, at 8:30am, USA Core Retail Sales number was released, so in the first 10 seconds, the price of USDJPY spiked down by 8.4 pips from 79.032 to 78.948. Then price started retracing, and within about 35 seconds retraced to 35% level of 78.977. So you would Sell at 78.977, set a stop/loss at 79.057, and set a take/profit at 78.897. 3 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 6.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--​
 
Last edited by a moderator:

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Forex News Gun Trade Plan

Australia Employment Change - 7:30pm NY time (Wednesday, January 15)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded pairExpected figureDeviation trigger
AUDUSD8.8 (k)±20.0 (k)
BuyAUDUSDif actual figure is or is above28.8 (k)
SellAUDUSDif actual figure is or is below-11.2 (k)

Expected move during first 20 minutes after the release is 30 pips or more.


--–––––————— FNG Configuration —————–––––--

Release name in FNG client: Australia Labor Force Employme

Clicks: first row is for Sell AUDUSD button, second one is for Buy AUDUSD button:




--–––––————— Detailed Trade Plan —————–––––--​

1. Start trade terminal
- Open your trade terminal and open an order sending dialog with Buy and Sell buttons.​
- Select AUDUSD pair.​
- Set your lot size - use your constant risk level on balance.​

2. Start Forex News Gun client
- Open your Forex News Gun client ( and ) and click 'Connect...'.​
- Drag the FNG window aside in order to make trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons visible.​

3. Set a click
- Click the 'Set Click' button in the row of Australia Employment Change.​
- Double click on first row's 'Range To' cell. Type '-11.2' and hit Enter.​
- Click first row's 'Click Location' button.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Sell button but don't click. We just show FNG where it is by pressing 'S' key while mouse cursor is over the Sell button. You will see the screen coordinates appearing in the FNG client.​
- Double click on second row's 'Range From' cell. Type '28.8' and hit Enter.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Buy button but don't click. Press 'S' key there to register button location in FNG client.​
- Click OK on this 'Set Clicks' window​

4. Keep trading environment intact
- Make sure that your pc, trade terminal and FNG client is running at the time of the release: Wednesday, January 15, 7:30pm NY time.​
- Make sure that trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons are visible at that time in order to catch screen clicks from FNG client.​

Now you have an automated news trading entry environment that will enter the market in a fraction of a second if this release figure hits the deviation. Nevertheless, don't forget to be at the PC at the time of the release in order to manage your position and to take that pips on the first spike that lasts no longer than several minutes.

I cannot tell you where to exit in relation to your entry, because entries during news vary greatly, due to different spreads, slippage, and other factors. For this reason, it’s extremely important that you review historical charts for Australia Employment Change, where the same deviation of at least 20.0 occurred. Click here to see such history: Australia Employment Change history of charts.

Once there, set filter to Difference Actual-Forecast >= 20.0 and click "Filter" to see list of charts.

If the release figure doesn't hit the deviation then FNG client won't click so you can either close it or set the next release. In this case don't forget to change currency pair if needed according to the new release details. Don't be surprised if most of the releases don't trigger. This is a conservative strategy and according to my statistics only every 4th or 5th release opens a position by hitting the deviation.

You can try to make money "while you sleep" with this. To do that, set it up on stable computer or server with stable internet connection, and pre-set your stop/loss and take/profit targets with your broker. As long as the platform and FNG remain open, your trade will be executed and exited automatically.

To get even more creative with FNG, when setting up clicks, you can set up first click instantly on let’s say "Buy". Then you can set up second click with let’s say 20 minutes delay on let’s say "Sell" to automatically close your buy trade 20 minutes later. To do that, simply put 20 into the MM field next to the second click, and identify the "Sell" location. HH stands for hours. MM stands for minutes. SS stands for seconds. MS stands for milliseconds. The software will delay any click by your specified desired time parameters.

Due to so many releases not hitting the specified parameters, and due to them being released at such different time frames, being able to set it up, and leave it on auto-pilot may be attractive to some people, though it will be more risky.

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--
O O O
--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

Australia Employment Change - 7:30pm NY time (Wednesday, January 15)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded currency pair:AUDUSD
Initial spike duration limit:20 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold:20 pips
Triggering retracement percentage:30 %
Retracement duration limit:60 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release:15 minutes
Stop loss:10 pips
Take profit:10 pips
Maximum spread:2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 07:29:45pm, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of AUDUSD on your chart.

  3. If between 07:30:00pm and 07:30:20pm, so during the first 20 seconds after the report, you see AUDUSD move up or down by 20 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 30% retracement if it occurs in 60 seconds from release time (till 07:31:00pm) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 30% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 20 pips during the first 20 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 07:45:00pm, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on December 5 2012, at 7:30pm, Australia Employment Change number was released, so in the first 10 seconds, the price of AUDUSD spiked up by 26.7 pips from 1.04471 to 1.04738. Then price started retracing, and within about 20 seconds retraced to 30% level of 1.04658. So you would Buy at 1.04658, set a stop/loss at 1.04558, and set a take/profit at 1.04758. 4 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 8.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--​
 
Last edited by a moderator:

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Forex News Gun Trade Plan

USA Core CPI - 8:30am NY time (Thursday, January 16)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded pairExpected figureDeviation trigger
USDJPY0.1 (%)±0.3 (%)
BuyUSDJPYif actual figure is or is above0.4 (%)
SellUSDJPYif actual figure is or is below-0.2 (%)

Expected move during first 30 minutes after the release is 25 pips or more.


--–––––————— FNG Configuration —————–––––--

Release name in FNG client: CPI Ex Food & Energy M/M

Clicks: first row is for Sell USDJPY button, second one is for Buy USDJPY button:




--–––––————— Detailed Trade Plan —————–––––--​

1. Start trade terminal
- Open your trade terminal and open an order sending dialog with Buy and Sell buttons.​
- Select USDJPY pair.​
- Set your lot size - use your constant risk level on balance.​

2. Start Forex News Gun client
- Open your Forex News Gun client ( and ) and click 'Connect...'.​
- Drag the FNG window aside in order to make trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons visible.​

3. Set a click
- Click the 'Set Click' button in the row of USA Core CPI.​
- Double click on first row's 'Range To' cell. Type '-0.2' and hit Enter.​
- Click first row's 'Click Location' button.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Sell button but don't click. We just show FNG where it is by pressing 'S' key while mouse cursor is over the Sell button. You will see the screen coordinates appearing in the FNG client.​
- Double click on second row's 'Range From' cell. Type '0.4' and hit Enter.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Buy button but don't click. Press 'S' key there to register button location in FNG client.​
- Click OK on this 'Set Clicks' window​

4. Keep trading environment intact
- Make sure that your pc, trade terminal and FNG client is running at the time of the release: Thursday, January 16, 8:30am NY time.​
- Make sure that trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons are visible at that time in order to catch screen clicks from FNG client.​

Now you have an automated news trading entry environment that will enter the market in a fraction of a second if this release figure hits the deviation. Nevertheless, don't forget to be at the PC at the time of the release in order to manage your position and to take that pips on the first spike that lasts no longer than several minutes.

I cannot tell you where to exit in relation to your entry, because entries during news vary greatly, due to different spreads, slippage, and other factors. For this reason, it’s extremely important that you review historical charts for USA Core CPI, where the same deviation of at least 0.3 occurred. Click here to see such history: USA Core CPI history of charts.

Once there, set filter to Difference Actual-Forecast >= 0.3 and click "Filter" to see list of charts.

If the release figure doesn't hit the deviation then FNG client won't click so you can either close it or set the next release. In this case don't forget to change currency pair if needed according to the new release details. Don't be surprised if most of the releases don't trigger. This is a conservative strategy and according to my statistics only every 4th or 5th release opens a position by hitting the deviation.

You can try to make money "while you sleep" with this. To do that, set it up on stable computer or server with stable internet connection, and pre-set your stop/loss and take/profit targets with your broker. As long as the platform and FNG remain open, your trade will be executed and exited automatically.

To get even more creative with FNG, when setting up clicks, you can set up first click instantly on let’s say "Buy". Then you can set up second click with let’s say 20 minutes delay on let’s say "Sell" to automatically close your buy trade 20 minutes later. To do that, simply put 20 into the MM field next to the second click, and identify the "Sell" location. HH stands for hours. MM stands for minutes. SS stands for seconds. MS stands for milliseconds. The software will delay any click by your specified desired time parameters.

Due to so many releases not hitting the specified parameters, and due to them being released at such different time frames, being able to set it up, and leave it on auto-pilot may be attractive to some people, though it will be more risky.

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--​
 
Last edited by a moderator:

--–––––——————————————————————————————————————–––––--

Forex News Gun Trade Plan

UK Retail Sales - 4:30am NY time (Friday, January 17)

--–––––————————————————————–––––--​

Traded pairExpected figureDeviation trigger
GBPUSD0.3 (%)±0.4 (%)
BuyGBPUSDif actual figure is or is above0.7 (%)
SellGBPUSDif actual figure is or is below-0.1 (%)

Expected move during first 20 minutes after the release is 20 pips or more.


--–––––————— FNG Configuration —————–––––--

Release name in FNG client: UK Retail Sales (MoM)

Clicks: first row is for Sell GBPUSD button, second one is for Buy GBPUSD button:




--–––––————— Detailed Trade Plan —————–––––--​

1. Start trade terminal
- Open your trade terminal and open an order sending dialog with Buy and Sell buttons.​
- Select GBPUSD pair.​
- Set your lot size - use your constant risk level on balance.​

2. Start Forex News Gun client
- Open your Forex News Gun client ( and ) and click 'Connect...'.​
- Drag the FNG window aside in order to make trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons visible.​

3. Set a click
- Click the 'Set Click' button in the row of UK Retail Sales.​
- Double click on first row's 'Range To' cell. Type '-0.1' and hit Enter.​
- Click first row's 'Click Location' button.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Sell button but don't click. We just show FNG where it is by pressing 'S' key while mouse cursor is over the Sell button. You will see the screen coordinates appearing in the FNG client.​
- Double click on second row's 'Range From' cell. Type '0.7' and hit Enter.​
- Drag the mouse cursor over the terminal's Buy button but don't click. Press 'S' key there to register button location in FNG client.​
- Click OK on this 'Set Clicks' window​

4. Keep trading environment intact
- Make sure that your pc, trade terminal and FNG client is running at the time of the release: Friday, January 17, 4:30am NY time.​
- Make sure that trade terminal's Buy and Sell buttons are visible at that time in order to catch screen clicks from FNG client.​

Now you have an automated news trading entry environment that will enter the market in a fraction of a second if this release figure hits the deviation. Nevertheless, don't forget to be at the PC at the time of the release in order to manage your position and to take that pips on the first spike that lasts no longer than several minutes.

I cannot tell you where to exit in relation to your entry, because entries during news vary greatly, due to different spreads, slippage, and other factors. For this reason, it’s extremely important that you review historical charts for UK Retail Sales, where the same deviation of at least 0.4 occurred. Click here to see such history: UK Retail Sales history of charts.

Once there, set filter to Difference Actual-Forecast >= 0.4 and click "Filter" to see list of charts.

If the release figure doesn't hit the deviation then FNG client won't click so you can either close it or set the next release. In this case don't forget to change currency pair if needed according to the new release details. Don't be surprised if most of the releases don't trigger. This is a conservative strategy and according to my statistics only every 4th or 5th release opens a position by hitting the deviation.

You can try to make money "while you sleep" with this. To do that, set it up on stable computer or server with stable internet connection, and pre-set your stop/loss and take/profit targets with your broker. As long as the platform and FNG remain open, your trade will be executed and exited automatically.

To get even more creative with FNG, when setting up clicks, you can set up first click instantly on let’s say "Buy". Then you can set up second click with let’s say 20 minutes delay on let’s say "Sell" to automatically close your buy trade 20 minutes later. To do that, simply put 20 into the MM field next to the second click, and identify the "Sell" location. HH stands for hours. MM stands for minutes. SS stands for seconds. MS stands for milliseconds. The software will delay any click by your specified desired time parameters.

Due to so many releases not hitting the specified parameters, and due to them being released at such different time frames, being able to set it up, and leave it on auto-pilot may be attractive to some people, though it will be more risky.

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O O O
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Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

UK Retail Sales - 4:30am NY time (Friday, January 17)

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Traded currency pair:GBPUSD
Initial spike duration limit:15 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold:12 pips
Triggering retracement percentage:35 %
Retracement duration limit:40 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release:10 minutes
Stop loss:10 pips
Take profit:10 pips
Maximum spread:2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 04:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of GBPUSD on your chart.

  3. If between 04:30:00am and 04:30:15am, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see GBPUSD move up or down by 12 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 35% retracement if it occurs in 40 seconds from release time (till 04:30:40am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 35% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 12 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 04:40:00am, so 10 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on April 20 2012, at 4:30am, UK Retail Sales number was released, so in the first 10 seconds, the price of GBPUSD spiked up by 31.9 pips from 1.60822 to 1.61141. Then price started retracing, and within about 25 seconds retraced to 31% level of 1.61041 but it didn't continue retracing. This retracement was lower than trade plan's minimal 35% level so we didn't enter the market.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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Last edited by a moderator:
"Click the 'Set Click' button in the row of USA Core Retail Sales."

I don't see any event with this name, has it something to do with my timezone ? (GMT+5.30)
How can I see the event in this case ?

Please help.
 
I don't see any event with this name, has it something to do with my timezone ? (GMT+5.30)
How can I see the event in this case ?

Please help.


The thing is that Forex News Gun client shows different names than those show up in the calendar. I inserted the FNG name into the trade plan under "FNG Configuration" so you can find release names there. For now it was: US Adjusted Retail Sales Less Autos.

Anyway, there is a new version on its way and this issue will be fixed.
 
Hi Peter, thanks for all your work and info. I have a question, on that AUD/USD one I got slipped 40 points with an ECN broker, I got away with it as the market spiked huge, about 70 points, but sometimes it doesnt spike as far as I am slipped. Would you say 40 points is acceptable slippage?

Thanks
 
I think the secret to making money from this is to use the news event as the entry point for a 8-9 hour trade instead of just doing the spike alone, because NFP and that last USD/AUD never retraced but just kept going.
 
Hi Peter, thanks for all your work and info. I have a question, on that AUD/USD one I got slipped 40 points with an ECN broker, I got away with it as the market spiked huge, about 70 points, but sometimes it doesnt spike as far as I am slipped. Would you say 40 points is acceptable slippage?

Hi Russell,

Slippage matters together with spread. In the very moment of any event 40 pips (remembering the event you think of pips I think) sounds rather big. However, the bigger the deviation and the more important the event is slippage and spread tend to be higher - and the more profit we can make. My chart says that in the first minute the maximum profit was 60 pips so 67% slippage relative to that is not that good. It's worth of course to try it with another broker, however, grabbing that 20 pips practically without much risk is not bad at all.

Peter
 
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