Forex Signal (Thursday April 5, 2012 – 7:00am EDT) – CA Employment Change

Stavro D'Amore

Former FPA Special Consultant
Hello All,

Today we have Canadian Employment Change and Canadian unemployment rate due to arrive at the same time.
Current unemployment rate in Canada is 7.6% I do not expect these numbers to conflict with the with CA Employment change.

Canadian Employment Change
Forecast 15K
Previous 2.3K
Pair to trade: USD/CAD

Numbers we need:

Economical Impact: High
Typical Result: Good for Currency, this forecast is predicated to be bad for the currency
Occurrence: About 8 days after the month ends
Spike Probability: Excellent, we can see a 50 pip on initial spike

About our Triggers:
CA Employment Change is forecasted to arrive at 15.0K
And CA Unemployment rate is forecasted to arrive at 7.6% from 7.6% unchanged
However today we will be trading the Employment change release, if we 40K or higher I will look to enter a SHORT position on USD/CAD and if we get -5K or lower I will go LONG on USD/CAD.
Should this report be triggered, we can expect to see a 50 pips on spike. This report is known to have double spikes so if you miss the retracement on the first spike or it does not retrace, please be patient and wait for retracement on the second spike, I would then need a 50% retracement to enter.

What is it? And why does the market care?
The Employment Change measures the change in the number of employed people in Canada in the given month. A rise trend indicates strength in the labor market and has a positive affect on consumer spending and therefore on the economic growth.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD
A lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD

Method I use to trade this:
Stavro D’Amore Trading Method

See My EURO Analysis

I will look for a pre news trade on this report, I would look at current volumes and ensure volume is not flat (this is important) and enter about 15 min prior to the news for a LONG position in USD/CAD. I would have a tight SL of 15 pip plus spread, My most likely entry point will be when I see momentum and MACD indicators both cross over on a 1min chart and a 5min chart, once that is confirmed I will enter my LONG position with a Take profit Target of 15-20 Pips.

I do recommend spike trading as an option for this report

I will look for a 30-50% retracement in the original spike before entering any trade.
I will close half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike or a resistance level and place a SL at the entry price of the first initial spike. My TP level would be just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a support level, looking at a 15 minute chart time frame.

Historical Chart and Data for CA Employment Change

All the best

Stavro D’Amore


This one has went against the grain of risk. Good spot to consider going long USDCAD.

Went long at .9930...SL .975...TP .996/.998/1.000. Fingers crossed....

Cha Ching! Holding a chunk for 1.000. SL moved to breakeven.
Last edited: