Henry Liu
Former FPA Special Consultant
- Messages
- 473
Hey Folks:
This week's market was like a roller coaster ride as the on going saga with Greece dominated the entire trading arena. Speculators sold Euro on news that bailout for Greece is delayed, and bought Euro on a whiff that agreements were reached... it was a tough week to say the least, but overall I believe we are likely to have a nice strong EUR momentum ahead of us... Here's why:
1. According to the latest headlines, A bailout package in the amount of 150 Billion Euro is in the works and may be passed this Sunday.
2. Greece PM Papandreou was able to control his administration and now has the votes needed for new austerity measures.
3. ECB is still going to hike interest rate in July, so...
I believe EUR may start to normalize and pick up steam as traders shift their focus on something else... Which means EURUSD may start to move upward in a slow yet gradual manner...
Moreover, the fact that next week we'll be getting FOMC Rate Decision on Wednesday, and judging recent data, I can't really expect the Feds to be positive... So I believe EURUSD is likely to move upwards, pending on the outcome of FOMC Statement on Wednesday...
Aside from that, the next big news release will be UK's MPC Minutes, as it will be crucial for the GBP... if anyone on the MPC changed his/her votes, then expect some monumental change in GBP...
Here's what we'll be trading next week:
1. Tue June 21, 2011 - 8:30am NY Time - CA Core Retail Sales
Historical Chart & Data
2. Tue June 21, 2011 - 10:00am NY Time - US Existing Home Sales
Historical Chart & Data
3. Wed June 22, 2011 - 4:30am NY Time - UK MPC Minutes
Historical Chart & Data
4. Wed June 22, 2011 - 12:30pm NY Time - US FOMC Rate Decision
Wed June 22, 2011 - 2:15pm NY Time - US FOMC Statement
Historical Chart & Data
5. Thu June 23, 2011 - 10:00am NY Time - US New Home Sales
Historical Chart & Data
... of course we also have a few untradable releases, such as the German ZEW and US Durable Goods, because they have not been reliable market movers.
Also pay attention to all of the PMI's out of Europe on Thursday, if they show surprises to the upside, expect some more momentum in the EURUSD.
Thanks,
This week's market was like a roller coaster ride as the on going saga with Greece dominated the entire trading arena. Speculators sold Euro on news that bailout for Greece is delayed, and bought Euro on a whiff that agreements were reached... it was a tough week to say the least, but overall I believe we are likely to have a nice strong EUR momentum ahead of us... Here's why:
1. According to the latest headlines, A bailout package in the amount of 150 Billion Euro is in the works and may be passed this Sunday.
2. Greece PM Papandreou was able to control his administration and now has the votes needed for new austerity measures.
3. ECB is still going to hike interest rate in July, so...
I believe EUR may start to normalize and pick up steam as traders shift their focus on something else... Which means EURUSD may start to move upward in a slow yet gradual manner...
Moreover, the fact that next week we'll be getting FOMC Rate Decision on Wednesday, and judging recent data, I can't really expect the Feds to be positive... So I believe EURUSD is likely to move upwards, pending on the outcome of FOMC Statement on Wednesday...
Aside from that, the next big news release will be UK's MPC Minutes, as it will be crucial for the GBP... if anyone on the MPC changed his/her votes, then expect some monumental change in GBP...
Here's what we'll be trading next week:
1. Tue June 21, 2011 - 8:30am NY Time - CA Core Retail Sales
Historical Chart & Data
2. Tue June 21, 2011 - 10:00am NY Time - US Existing Home Sales
Historical Chart & Data
3. Wed June 22, 2011 - 4:30am NY Time - UK MPC Minutes
Historical Chart & Data
4. Wed June 22, 2011 - 12:30pm NY Time - US FOMC Rate Decision
Wed June 22, 2011 - 2:15pm NY Time - US FOMC Statement
Historical Chart & Data
5. Thu June 23, 2011 - 10:00am NY Time - US New Home Sales
Historical Chart & Data
... of course we also have a few untradable releases, such as the German ZEW and US Durable Goods, because they have not been reliable market movers.
Also pay attention to all of the PMI's out of Europe on Thursday, if they show surprises to the upside, expect some more momentum in the EURUSD.
Thanks,
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