Upcoming Signals Overview (March 21 ~ 25, 2011)

Henry Liu

Former FPA Special Consultant
Hey Folks:

This past week we’ve had some major strengthening of the Japanese Yen, United States Dollar, and Swiss Franc as the market continued in fear from the natural disasters in Japan. To help stimulate their economy and start the rebuilding process, it has taken the Bank of Japan 33 trillion yen to help depreciate the currency. We are starting to see some effects of their interventions and it may take several days or weeks for the Japanese Yen to weaken significantly. However, taking the parallel of the after effects of the Kobe earthquake in 1995, on the long term confidence should be restored because typically major rebuilding process raises GDP and boosts economy. What gave me the confidence on the long term is the G-7 meeting on Thursday, concluded that a stimulus package for Japan at this point is unnecessary as Japan is believed to have proper liquidity to handle this disaster. However G-7 countries have taken joint action selling the Yen, and after Yen Futures hit major highs on Wednesday we are now seeing markets pulling back. Going into next week we should see further weakening of the Yen in my opinion.

We have only a few tradable releases, but I would expect a sentiment driven market as from news of the earthquake and geopolitical tensions in Libya, general market sentiment should lean towards more risk aversion.

Here's the list of tradable releases:

1. Mon March 21, 2011 – 10:00am EST – USD Existing Home Sales m/m
Historical Data & Chart

2. Tue March 22, 2011- 5:30am EST – GBP CPI y/y
Historical Data & Chart

3. Tue March 22, 2011 - 8:30am EST – CAD Core Retail Sales m/m
Historical Data & Chart

4. Wed March 23, 2011 – 5:30am EST – GBP MPC Meeting Minutes
Historical Data & Chart

5.Wed March 23,2011 - 10:00am EST- USD New Home Sales
Historical Data & Chart

6. Thur March 24, 2011 – 5:30am EST – GBP Retail Sales m/m
Historical Data & Chart


Last edited by a moderator:


Thanks Henry ! (note those times quoted should be marked as EDT - as the U.S. in in daylight savings now)


I've put together a Google Calendar of Henry's tradable news releases which you can add to your iPhone or your own Google Calendar. This gives you the following:
  1. Translates the time into your local timezone
  2. Allows you to see your personal appointments alongside when the news releases are happening
  3. And if you have a Google Calendar account - notifications to your mobile phone via SMS (for free!)

Instructions (you only need to add this once and it will appear every week)

Adding to iPhone:
  1. Send an e-mail to your iPhone with the e-mail body of "webcal://www.google.com/calendar/ical/06nlopqpjr7nnehhgc99igak6k%40group.calendar.google.com/public/basic.ics" (without the quotes and remove the extra space before the '.com')
  2. On your iPhone, open the e-mail and click on the link.
  3. When prompted "Subscribe to the calendar: 'Henry Liu's Trading Signals'?", click "Subscribe".
  4. Open your calendar and it will say "The Calendar 'Henry Liu's Trading Signals' has been added"
  5. Click "Done".

Adding to your own Google Calendar and setting SMS notification (see accompanying screenshots attached):
  1. Log into your Google calendar and go to "Other Calendars"
  2. Type in "06nlopqpjr7nnehhgc99igak6k@group.calendar.google.com" (without the quotes and the .com should be one word - you'll need to remove the space)
  3. Now click on the drop-down for your newly added calendar "Henry Liu's Trading Signals". Click on "Calendar settings"
  4. Click on the tab "Notifications". Fill in the reminders you'd like - E-mail, SMS and Pop-up.

If you don't see "SMS" as a drop-down option, you need to configure the settings for your mobile phone in Google. Go to your "Settings" (top right) and choose "Mobile Setup" or check Google Calendar Help.

I update this based on news listed in the FPA calendar and then update every week shortly after Henry releases his weekly review, so you should only need to add the calendar once and from there on you'll get reminders every week to help you trade :)

Hope this helps,




Hey Folks:

This past week we’ve had some major strengthening of the Japanese Yen, United States Dollar, and Swiss Franc as the market continued in fear from the natural disasters in Japan.

Where do you get the idea that the USD has strengthened in the past week? Based upon what I see, it's went down...76.6 to 75.6 on USD Index...in the last week. It did strengthen a bit against the GBP and AUD...but has since given those gains up today.

The USD is at a 1 year low right now. Nearing a historical low.