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Forex Signal (Tuesday December 6, 2011 – 9:00am EDT) – CA BOC Rate Decision

Discussion in 'Current Forex Trading Signals' started by Stavro D'Amore, Dec 5, 2011.

  1. Stavro D'Amore

    Stavro D'Amore Former FPA Special Consultant

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    Hello

    Please see my trade plan below.


    CA BOC Rate Decision
    Forecast 1.00%
    Previous 1.00%
    Pair to trade: USD/CAD

    Numbers we need:
    BUY USD/CAD 0.75%
    SELL USD/CAD 1.25%

    Economical Impact: High
    Typical Result: Hawkish is Good for Currency
    Occurrence: Scheduled 8 times per year
    Spike Probability: Good, we can see 60 pips on initial spike

    About our Triggers:
    CA GDP m/m is forecasted to arrive at 1.00%
    We are looking for a deviation of 0.25% either way on this trade.
    If we get 1.25% or better I will look to enter a SHORT position on USD/CAD and if we get
    0.75% or lower I will go LONG on USD/CAD.
    Should this report be triggered, we can expect to see about 60 pips on the initial spike.
    We have no known conflict for this release. This trade will have a good chance of a 30% retrace on the initial spike

    What is it? And why does the market care?
    The Bank of Canada (BOC) decision on short term interest rate. The decision on where to set interest rates depends mostly on growth outlook and inflation. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increases demand for the nation's currency.

    A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the CAD.
    A lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the CAD.

    Method I use to trade this:
    Stavro D’Amore Trading Method

    Felix Descriptions:
    Indicator Descriptions

    I will look for a 30-50% retracement in the original spike before entering a trade; I will sell half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike and place a SL at entry price. My TP level would be just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a support level, looking at a 15 minute chart time frame.

    I do recommend spike trading as an option when there is great uncertainty in the markets; also the liquidity is very good at the moment if you are using an ECN broker.

    Historical Chart and Data for CA BOC Rate Decision

    All the best

    Stavro D’Amore
     
    #1 Stavro D'Amore, Dec 5, 2011
    Lasted edited by : Sep 8, 2016
  2. Louis123321

    Louis123321 Corporal

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    Spiked at unchanged

    Thanks Stavro !!

    The triggers were not hit but the USDCAD spiked down about 50 pips still..

    Is there any way we can / could of predicted this to trade it?

    Also, what to do next time, just not trade it to be safe? Because i didn't trade it to be safe.. But I see I just missed about 50-60 pips. (missed but also didnt loose!)

    Thanks again for the great news signals they help a lot !!!

    Louis
     
  3. Fxonuoha

    Fxonuoha Private, 1st Class

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    A ship kept at bay is safe but that's not what ships are meant for.
    However,it's better to stay and watch than go swimming without knowing how to swim.
     

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