2.5 years forex trading experiences???...whoooh, you have twice my experience and here I am trying to tell "advice" a senior : )
You can write off the first 8 months. I started in October 2008 when markets were in mad downtrend. Trading was so easy... I made fantastic profits and... gave it all back plus another $8000 once this exceptional market phase was over.
I didn't learn anything during that time. Except how to open and close a trade.
Ok, so you would be the perfect person to answer my question...or rather, my curiosity.. : )
How much average % returns can your robot make for you in a given...say...30 trading days?
First of all I don't believe in any robot trading. I mean it.
I tested about 90 robots. I wrote some. All trashed. I know about more robots tested by other users. 99.9% trashed.
I know how robots work.
Let's put aside all the scam here, just focus on the very few that work:
- they're completely blind. They don't know if the market is trending or not or close to some major reversal or else. Just compare some values.
- they know nothing about what they're doing. Just checking math for conditions and executing a trade if match.
- every single one will lose in longer run if not controlled by a human. Skilled human as a matter of fact.
This one is no different.
But it's very successful trading specific strategy matching specific Cable personality - it works only there.
So I keep an eye on it and adjust from time to time. No any set & forget.
It's like a toy car - it can go only forward without turning or breaking when needed. So you have to control it.
But it does something I don't like to do: scalping.
It does the hard job, I check from time to time and adjust weekly. Plus sometimes I have to make it out of bigger trouble.
Sorry for being that long but the background is important to explain my results:
Dec 5, 2010, Starting balance $99.43
March 25, 2011, account balance $450.82, 353% up.
But, you asked about 30 days period - 22% monthly on average, 2.1% a day.
As I said it trades every day, 1-3 trades a day.
However keep in mind I stressed it too much. So much I had Margin Call issue.
I'm going to slow down. Say... 1.6% daily on average
Now, if I didn't do anything and left it on defaults I would most probably do some 110% during this time and blow it all on the recent Cable swings.
But I'd not make any benchmark out of it - the robots are so different you cannot easily compare them.
I am strong convinced that position trading is the best way to make consistent profits for investment purposes (...)
So, if we were to enter a trade, pre-set TP and simple forget it for a period of time, we should get our TP triggered sooner or later (...)
Many ways to Rome...
One day I was struggling in EURUSD trading. After few hours of hard work I zoomed out and said: what the hell am I doing? It was just enough to sell it four days ago and let it go... I could even do it yesterday and bank nice 160! While I'm still down after long six hours...
I know some traders trading off 15 min charts. They seem to be very successful. However this requires a lot of focus and discipline.
Personally I believe robots perform best in very short term trading. The EA I'm using seems to confirm that.
But I'd rather trade more comfortably
Longer term, wider ranges… the big picture.
One of advantages is much better error margin: you may enter in "wrong" place and time. Say market goes 100 pips against you on unexpected event just after the entry.
But you're in comfortable 500 pips distance SL looking for 700+ pips catch. Besides who said you could not add to position on this pullback?
I think you are right to have a separate trading account for different trading system since I don't think I can resist interfering and closing out long term trade as soon as it gets into some significant profits.
They may interfere each other in many ways. It may be margin level for example ;-)
But it may be simple psychology: you're long and short in the same pair. One trade is longer term, trend wise. The other is short term countertrend.
Now you're playing blacks and whites on the same chess board... Not very comfortable. Better split it.
Hope I didn't make it too long...