Hey Folks,
Last week we saw US ISM data come out higher than expected, but not high enough to get the market rallying and not high enough to hit our planned trigger level, so no trade there. Monday starts off quite slow with some banking holidays and only a subpar US Pending Home Sales release for economic data. As far as currencies are concerned, we could see some strange moves here with low liquidity as many countries are on banking holidays today. It looks like the yen crosses may take a breather though and head lower, so look for some shorting opportunities on XXX/JPY pairs. Stock outlook is short term uncertain, but medium term we're still overbought and standing by for a more meaningful retracement lower towards 800 on the S&P. Any gold rally should encounter some resistance in the 900-909 area so that may be a good place to short it. Keep in mind though that once a more significant stock decline gets underway, gold will likely have a nice rally that pushes up through some resistance... so if you're playing gold short for the shorter term, make sure stocks are still above short term support.
Thanks,
Sir Pips
Last week we saw US ISM data come out higher than expected, but not high enough to get the market rallying and not high enough to hit our planned trigger level, so no trade there. Monday starts off quite slow with some banking holidays and only a subpar US Pending Home Sales release for economic data. As far as currencies are concerned, we could see some strange moves here with low liquidity as many countries are on banking holidays today. It looks like the yen crosses may take a breather though and head lower, so look for some shorting opportunities on XXX/JPY pairs. Stock outlook is short term uncertain, but medium term we're still overbought and standing by for a more meaningful retracement lower towards 800 on the S&P. Any gold rally should encounter some resistance in the 900-909 area so that may be a good place to short it. Keep in mind though that once a more significant stock decline gets underway, gold will likely have a nice rally that pushes up through some resistance... so if you're playing gold short for the shorter term, make sure stocks are still above short term support.
Thanks,
Sir Pips