Kelly Yeung
ATFX.com Representative
- Messages
- 835
The Bank of England raised interest rates by 0.25% according to the original plan and the target rate rose to 0.75%. However, after the Bank of England raised interest rates, it did not bring any advantages to the pound. After the central bank announced a rate hike, the pound continued to fall. The focus is on the market's interest rate hikes for the Fed and the US employment growth forecast to curb the trend of the pound. In addition to the fall in the pound, the dollar is strong, and the worldwide major currencies and emerging currencies have fallen. Gold and silver, as well as commodity prices and industrial metal prices generally fell. Money flows to US dollar assets, including the US stock market and bond market.
The strength of the US dollar is due to the global market's attention to the US job data and trade accounts results for July tonight. Investors are concerned about risks and the flow of funds to the US dollar. If the US non-farm payrolls and average wages in July only met or were close to market expectations, the trade account did not change much, causing the dollar to fall. The market may be adjusted and the current trend were reversed.
Today's suggestion:
EURUSD
1.1575/1.1550 support
1.1625/1.1640 resistance
Recently, the US ADP employment data growth in July, the US non-farm payrolls data is expected better perform. The dollar is strong, and EURUSD downward. On the eve of the announcement of the US job data, EURUSD will continue to downward. However, we can pay attention to the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July. If it is close to market expectations, the US dollar will fall, and EURUSD may rebound.
GBPUSD
1.2985/1.2960 support
1.3040/1.3065 resistance
As suggested yesterday, the market generally believes that the Bank of England raises interest rates. However, the UK's economic performance is not strong. The interest rate hike may be only short-lived. It is more likely to affect economic growth, and it will be negative for the pound. In the end, the pound will fall by a hundred pips. It is currently expected that the US job data will be released on the eve of the announcement. Concerned about the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July, if only close to market expectations, the dollar will fall, and the pound may rebound.
USDCHF
0.9925/0.9910 support
0.9975/0.9990 resistance
On the eve of the announcement of non-farm payroll and job report data, European currencies will continue to move downward. The Swiss franc also fell, it means USDCHF upward trend. Concerned about the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July, if only close to market expectations, the dollar will fall.
USD/JPY
111.35/111.20 support
111.85/112.05 resistance
The volatility of the US and Japanese stock markets has brought about changes in the US and Japan. It is believed that the current stock market changes are more likely to affect the USD/JPY trend and investment sentiment fluctuations. Concerned about the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July, if only close to market expectations, the stock market fell, the USDJPY may fall.
AUDUSD
0.7385/0.7405 resistance
0.7325/0.7300 support
It is expected that the number of non-farm payroll in the United States will increase to more than 220,000 in July, and the unemployment rate will fall. If the average salary in the United States in July is further higher than 0.3%, the inflation expectations in the United States will heat up, which will the bearish on AUD. if AUDUSD fall below 0.7355, it will test 0.7325. However, it must be noted that if the non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the strength of the US dollar may reverse and Australia and the US have the opportunity to rebound.
NZDUSD
0.6745/0.6760 resistance
0.6715/0.6690 support
It is expected that the number of non-farm payroll in the United States will increase to more than 220,000 in July, and the unemployment rate will fall. If the average salary in the United States in July is further higher than 0.3%, the inflation expectations in the United States will heat up, which will the bearish on NZD and expected to fall below 0.6760 and will test 0.6715. If the non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the strength of the US dollar may reverse and NZD will have a chance to rebound.
USD/CAD
1.3005/1.2990 support
1.3050/1.3065 resistance
The oil price rebounded and the trend was positive for the Canadian dollar. However, on the eve of the release of job data reports tonight, the US dollar was strong and the short-term bearish Canadian dollar. If the number of non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the strength of the US dollar may reverse and the US and Canada will have a chance to rebound. But we must also pay attention to changes in oil prices.
EUR/GBP
0.8935/0.8945 resistance
0.8875/0.8860 support
During the UK's interest rate decision, EUR/GBP fluctuated. Short-term the market focus on the US job report, while the job data announced fluctuations, it is recommended to focus on 0.8875 support and 0.8935, also need to pay attention to risk management and stop loss protection.
EURCHF
1.1520/1.1505 support
1.1555/1.1570 resistance
The euro has double bottom support against the Swiss franc, and the technical oscillator has a serious divergence. It is estimated that the euro against the Swiss franc is waiting to rebound. Keep an eye out for fluctuations in the US employment report at night.
XAUUSD
1202/1198 support
1213/1217 resistance
The Fed’s interest rate keeps interest rates unchanged, which is positive for gold. It is only the expectation of growth in the US job market, limiting the increase in gold. On the eve of the announcement of non-farm payroll data, gold maintained a downward trend. If the number of non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the dollar may reverse to go downward, then gold and silver prices will have a chance to rebound.
US crude oil futures:
69.55/69.85 resistance
68.25/68.05 support
The market further digested the news of the increase in US crude oil inventories. On the contrary, it worried that Iran’s sanctions would go out and the supply of crude oil would decrease, stimulating the rebound in oil prices. If the US job market maintains strong growth, it will further benefit oil prices. If the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, oil prices may be dropped. If US job market strong, it will bullish the oil prices.
BTCUSD:
7570 / 7645 resistance
7225 / 7070 support
FOMC hawkish remarks, it could bearish the crypto currencies. US government regulations would like to block chain providers disclosure users identification, it could be affected the crypto currencies.
The above is for reference only; the market is risky and investment needs to be cautious. Trading must included risk management! Wish Happy trading!
Information provided by ATFX, Chief Analyst of Asia Pacific: Martin Lam
Registered Australian Accountant/ Certified Professional Manager / Certified Financial
Advisor Experienced Investor / Media Market Commentator Martin Lam has Over 17 years’ experience in global investment market. Familiar with the worldwide stock indices, precious metals such Gold and Silver, Crude oil and Forex. He operated Martin Currency Trading Company and had partnership with a number of well-known international financial corporations and institutions. Before he join ATFX, he was TeleTrade Greater China development and Sales Director. Mr. Lam attends Hong Kong Now TV and China CCTV finance channel once a week. He also had regularly invited by different media, such as DBC Digital Financial Channel, Hong Kong Economic Times, The Standard, Ming Pao to share his experience to trade in Forex, Precious metals, Crude oil and worldwide stock indices.
wechat: ATFX_China
Legal: ATFX is a trading name of AT Global Markets Limited (ATGM, registration number 24226 IBC 2017). ATGM is an International Business Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Registered address is : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
The strength of the US dollar is due to the global market's attention to the US job data and trade accounts results for July tonight. Investors are concerned about risks and the flow of funds to the US dollar. If the US non-farm payrolls and average wages in July only met or were close to market expectations, the trade account did not change much, causing the dollar to fall. The market may be adjusted and the current trend were reversed.
Today's suggestion:
EURUSD
1.1575/1.1550 support
1.1625/1.1640 resistance
Recently, the US ADP employment data growth in July, the US non-farm payrolls data is expected better perform. The dollar is strong, and EURUSD downward. On the eve of the announcement of the US job data, EURUSD will continue to downward. However, we can pay attention to the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July. If it is close to market expectations, the US dollar will fall, and EURUSD may rebound.
GBPUSD
1.2985/1.2960 support
1.3040/1.3065 resistance
As suggested yesterday, the market generally believes that the Bank of England raises interest rates. However, the UK's economic performance is not strong. The interest rate hike may be only short-lived. It is more likely to affect economic growth, and it will be negative for the pound. In the end, the pound will fall by a hundred pips. It is currently expected that the US job data will be released on the eve of the announcement. Concerned about the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July, if only close to market expectations, the dollar will fall, and the pound may rebound.
USDCHF
0.9925/0.9910 support
0.9975/0.9990 resistance
On the eve of the announcement of non-farm payroll and job report data, European currencies will continue to move downward. The Swiss franc also fell, it means USDCHF upward trend. Concerned about the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July, if only close to market expectations, the dollar will fall.
USD/JPY
111.35/111.20 support
111.85/112.05 resistance
The volatility of the US and Japanese stock markets has brought about changes in the US and Japan. It is believed that the current stock market changes are more likely to affect the USD/JPY trend and investment sentiment fluctuations. Concerned about the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July, if only close to market expectations, the stock market fell, the USDJPY may fall.
AUDUSD
0.7385/0.7405 resistance
0.7325/0.7300 support
It is expected that the number of non-farm payroll in the United States will increase to more than 220,000 in July, and the unemployment rate will fall. If the average salary in the United States in July is further higher than 0.3%, the inflation expectations in the United States will heat up, which will the bearish on AUD. if AUDUSD fall below 0.7355, it will test 0.7325. However, it must be noted that if the non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the strength of the US dollar may reverse and Australia and the US have the opportunity to rebound.
NZDUSD
0.6745/0.6760 resistance
0.6715/0.6690 support
It is expected that the number of non-farm payroll in the United States will increase to more than 220,000 in July, and the unemployment rate will fall. If the average salary in the United States in July is further higher than 0.3%, the inflation expectations in the United States will heat up, which will the bearish on NZD and expected to fall below 0.6760 and will test 0.6715. If the non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the strength of the US dollar may reverse and NZD will have a chance to rebound.
USD/CAD
1.3005/1.2990 support
1.3050/1.3065 resistance
The oil price rebounded and the trend was positive for the Canadian dollar. However, on the eve of the release of job data reports tonight, the US dollar was strong and the short-term bearish Canadian dollar. If the number of non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the strength of the US dollar may reverse and the US and Canada will have a chance to rebound. But we must also pay attention to changes in oil prices.
EUR/GBP
0.8935/0.8945 resistance
0.8875/0.8860 support
During the UK's interest rate decision, EUR/GBP fluctuated. Short-term the market focus on the US job report, while the job data announced fluctuations, it is recommended to focus on 0.8875 support and 0.8935, also need to pay attention to risk management and stop loss protection.
EURCHF
1.1520/1.1505 support
1.1555/1.1570 resistance
The euro has double bottom support against the Swiss franc, and the technical oscillator has a serious divergence. It is estimated that the euro against the Swiss franc is waiting to rebound. Keep an eye out for fluctuations in the US employment report at night.
XAUUSD
1202/1198 support
1213/1217 resistance
The Fed’s interest rate keeps interest rates unchanged, which is positive for gold. It is only the expectation of growth in the US job market, limiting the increase in gold. On the eve of the announcement of non-farm payroll data, gold maintained a downward trend. If the number of non-farm payrolls and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, the dollar may reverse to go downward, then gold and silver prices will have a chance to rebound.
US crude oil futures:
69.55/69.85 resistance
68.25/68.05 support
The market further digested the news of the increase in US crude oil inventories. On the contrary, it worried that Iran’s sanctions would go out and the supply of crude oil would decrease, stimulating the rebound in oil prices. If the US job market maintains strong growth, it will further benefit oil prices. If the number of non-farm payroll and average wages in July are only close to market expectations, oil prices may be dropped. If US job market strong, it will bullish the oil prices.
BTCUSD:
7570 / 7645 resistance
7225 / 7070 support
FOMC hawkish remarks, it could bearish the crypto currencies. US government regulations would like to block chain providers disclosure users identification, it could be affected the crypto currencies.
The above is for reference only; the market is risky and investment needs to be cautious. Trading must included risk management! Wish Happy trading!
Information provided by ATFX, Chief Analyst of Asia Pacific: Martin Lam
Registered Australian Accountant/ Certified Professional Manager / Certified Financial
Advisor Experienced Investor / Media Market Commentator Martin Lam has Over 17 years’ experience in global investment market. Familiar with the worldwide stock indices, precious metals such Gold and Silver, Crude oil and Forex. He operated Martin Currency Trading Company and had partnership with a number of well-known international financial corporations and institutions. Before he join ATFX, he was TeleTrade Greater China development and Sales Director. Mr. Lam attends Hong Kong Now TV and China CCTV finance channel once a week. He also had regularly invited by different media, such as DBC Digital Financial Channel, Hong Kong Economic Times, The Standard, Ming Pao to share his experience to trade in Forex, Precious metals, Crude oil and worldwide stock indices.
wechat: ATFX_China
Legal: ATFX is a trading name of AT Global Markets Limited (ATGM, registration number 24226 IBC 2017). ATGM is an International Business Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Registered address is : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.