Kelly Yeung
ATFX.com Representative
- Messages
- 835
The US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting record shows that the Fed maintains a gradual rate hike to boost the dollar. The market watched the Jackson Holes, Global Bank Central Bank Annual Meeting for three days to learn more about the global central bank's monetary policy, especially the speech of Fed Chairman Powell at the meeting. The market estimates that Powell may reveal the latest monetary policy implications of the Fed. In addition, the US President has repeatedly stated that he is not satisfied with the Fed’s interest rate hike, and the outside world has questioned the president’s impediment to the independence of the Fed and its influence on the dollar’s prestige. I look forward to Powell's clarification.
This week, there is a lack of important US economic data. The number of jobless claims and new home sales data, as well as the manufacturing and service purchasing managers' index, can be used as a reference for the US economy. If the data is better than market expectations, it can boost the dollar. Further confirmation of US economic data is more important to estimate the impact of US gross domestic product next week, and even affect the Fed's monetary policy decision.
Today's suggestion:
EURUSD
1.1585/1.1600 resistance
1.1545/1.1530 support
Yesterday, EURUSD once hit 1.1620. With the minutes of the Fed's FOMC monetary policy meeting, the Fed's monetary policy continued to raise interest rates gradually, which favored the US dollar. The euro's high level fell back, and it is now down to 1.1530. If the US economy and employment data are strong tonight, there is a chance to further test 1.1480.
GBPUSD
1.2905/1.2925 resistance
1.2850/1.2830 support
The Fed’s monetary policy continues to gradually increase interest rates, which is good for the US dollar. On the contrary, after the UK raised interest rates in early August, the short-term interest rate hike is low and the trend is weak. In addition, the trend of the euro has turned, and it is expected that the pound will follow the pace. Therefore, the trend of short-term pounds and the United States, continue to refer to the euro.
USDCHF
0.9830/0.9815 support
0.9885/0.9910 resistance
The Swiss franc continues to be dominated by the euro. The euro reversed its downward trend, driving the Swiss franc to follow the decline. Currently maintaining 0.9830 and 0.9815 support range, up to 0.9885 and 0.99 level.
USD/JPY
110.60/110.45 support
111.20/111.45 resistance
The Fed continued to raise interest rates gradually and the dollar rose. As the Nikkei index continued to rise, the dollar finally followed the gains against the yen. The current is testing 111.20 and the high of 111.45 two weeks ago.
AUDUSD
0.7305/0.7320 resistance
0.7270/0.7250 support
The market has already digested Australian data performance. The dollar strengthened and indirectly suppressed the Australian dollar. In addition, the Fed’s monetary policy meeting record showed a hawkish stance and supported a rate hike, after which the Australian dollar fell. Currently preparing to test 0.7250 support, but the US economic data must be in line with the growth momentum. The US data tonight is worth noting.
NZDUSD
0.6690/0.6705 resistance
0.6640/0.6620 support
The market has already digested the performance of New Zealand data yesterday. As the dollar strengthened, it indirectly suppressed the New Zealand dollar. In addition, the Fed’s monetary policy meeting record showed a hawkish stance and supported a rate hike, and the New Zealand dollar fell. Currently preparing to test 0.7250 support, but the US economic data must be in line with the growth momentum. The US data tonight is worth noting. In addition, New Zealand will announce the trade account tomorrow, and the market is waiting to see.
USD/CAD
1.3025/1.3000 support
1.3065/1.3080 resistance
Negotiations on North American trade agreements have progressed, crude oil inventories have decreased, and oil prices have rebounded. Both sides have a bullish Canadian dollar. The Fed’s monetary policy meeting record shows the hawkish position and supports raising interest rates to curb the Canadian dollar. Technically, pay attention to the ups and downs from 1.30 to 1.31. 1.2960 is a very important support. The US data tonight is also worth noting.
EUR/GBP
0.9000/0.9020 resistance
0.8960/0.8945 support
The euro is stronger than the pound and the euro is rising against the pound. Technically, the euro broke the 0.8965 against the pound, the trend has changed, and the trend may be upward. At present, we are paying attention to the next resistance target of 0.9020, but we must pay attention to the risk of reversal before the emergence of 0.90.
EURCHF
1.1395/1.1405 resistance
1.1360/1.1345 support
With the improvement of the Turkish currency crisis, the euro rebounded against the Swiss franc and rebounded. Technically, 1.1405 is the initial resistance. However, it must be noted that after the emergence of 1.14, the euro has a downside risk against the Swiss franc.
XAUUSD
1194/1196 resistance
1187/1185 support
The Fed’s monetary policy meeting record shows the hawkish stance and supports the pace of interest rate hikes. Progress in North American trade negotiations, market risk sentiment improved, negative for gold, have the opportunity to test 1192, and further develop to 1180 important support.
US crude oil futures:
66.75/66.35 support
68.35/68.75 resistance
The decline in crude oil inventories has spurred a rebound in oil prices. Following the early focus on maintaining $64 support, it is currently focusing on the important resistance above $69.
BTCUSD:
6567 / 6780 resistance
6070 / 5970 support
The market keeps expected bathe US fed hike in coming next month. It seems negative for the demand and interest in crypto currencies. Also, many restrictions for crypto currencies also negative to the crypto currencies trend will face downward. If the US data showed strong, crypto currencies could downward.
The above is for reference only; the market is risky and investment needs to be cautious. Trading must included risk management! Wish Happy trading!
Information provided by ATFX, Chief Analyst of Asia Pacific: Martin Lam
Registered Australian Accountant/ Certified Professional Manager / Certified Financial
Advisor Experienced Investor / Media Market Commentator Martin Lam has Over 17 years’ experience in global investment market. Familiar with the worldwide stock indices, precious metals such Gold and Silver, Crude oil and Forex. He operated Martin Currency Trading Company and had partnership with a number of well-known international financial corporations and institutions. Before he join ATFX, he was TeleTrade Greater China development and Sales Director. Mr. Lam attends Hong Kong Now TV and China CCTV finance channel once a week. He also had regularly invited by different media, such as DBC Digital Financial Channel, Hong Kong Economic Times, The Standard, Ming Pao to share his experience to trade in Forex, Precious metals, Crude oil and worldwide stock indices.
wechat: ATFX_China
Legal: ATFX is a trading name of AT Global Markets Limited (ATGM, registration number 24226 IBC 2017). ATGM is an International Business Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Registered address is : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.
This week, there is a lack of important US economic data. The number of jobless claims and new home sales data, as well as the manufacturing and service purchasing managers' index, can be used as a reference for the US economy. If the data is better than market expectations, it can boost the dollar. Further confirmation of US economic data is more important to estimate the impact of US gross domestic product next week, and even affect the Fed's monetary policy decision.
Today's suggestion:
EURUSD
1.1585/1.1600 resistance
1.1545/1.1530 support
Yesterday, EURUSD once hit 1.1620. With the minutes of the Fed's FOMC monetary policy meeting, the Fed's monetary policy continued to raise interest rates gradually, which favored the US dollar. The euro's high level fell back, and it is now down to 1.1530. If the US economy and employment data are strong tonight, there is a chance to further test 1.1480.
GBPUSD
1.2905/1.2925 resistance
1.2850/1.2830 support
The Fed’s monetary policy continues to gradually increase interest rates, which is good for the US dollar. On the contrary, after the UK raised interest rates in early August, the short-term interest rate hike is low and the trend is weak. In addition, the trend of the euro has turned, and it is expected that the pound will follow the pace. Therefore, the trend of short-term pounds and the United States, continue to refer to the euro.
USDCHF
0.9830/0.9815 support
0.9885/0.9910 resistance
The Swiss franc continues to be dominated by the euro. The euro reversed its downward trend, driving the Swiss franc to follow the decline. Currently maintaining 0.9830 and 0.9815 support range, up to 0.9885 and 0.99 level.
USD/JPY
110.60/110.45 support
111.20/111.45 resistance
The Fed continued to raise interest rates gradually and the dollar rose. As the Nikkei index continued to rise, the dollar finally followed the gains against the yen. The current is testing 111.20 and the high of 111.45 two weeks ago.
AUDUSD
0.7305/0.7320 resistance
0.7270/0.7250 support
The market has already digested Australian data performance. The dollar strengthened and indirectly suppressed the Australian dollar. In addition, the Fed’s monetary policy meeting record showed a hawkish stance and supported a rate hike, after which the Australian dollar fell. Currently preparing to test 0.7250 support, but the US economic data must be in line with the growth momentum. The US data tonight is worth noting.
NZDUSD
0.6690/0.6705 resistance
0.6640/0.6620 support
The market has already digested the performance of New Zealand data yesterday. As the dollar strengthened, it indirectly suppressed the New Zealand dollar. In addition, the Fed’s monetary policy meeting record showed a hawkish stance and supported a rate hike, and the New Zealand dollar fell. Currently preparing to test 0.7250 support, but the US economic data must be in line with the growth momentum. The US data tonight is worth noting. In addition, New Zealand will announce the trade account tomorrow, and the market is waiting to see.
USD/CAD
1.3025/1.3000 support
1.3065/1.3080 resistance
Negotiations on North American trade agreements have progressed, crude oil inventories have decreased, and oil prices have rebounded. Both sides have a bullish Canadian dollar. The Fed’s monetary policy meeting record shows the hawkish position and supports raising interest rates to curb the Canadian dollar. Technically, pay attention to the ups and downs from 1.30 to 1.31. 1.2960 is a very important support. The US data tonight is also worth noting.
EUR/GBP
0.9000/0.9020 resistance
0.8960/0.8945 support
The euro is stronger than the pound and the euro is rising against the pound. Technically, the euro broke the 0.8965 against the pound, the trend has changed, and the trend may be upward. At present, we are paying attention to the next resistance target of 0.9020, but we must pay attention to the risk of reversal before the emergence of 0.90.
EURCHF
1.1395/1.1405 resistance
1.1360/1.1345 support
With the improvement of the Turkish currency crisis, the euro rebounded against the Swiss franc and rebounded. Technically, 1.1405 is the initial resistance. However, it must be noted that after the emergence of 1.14, the euro has a downside risk against the Swiss franc.
XAUUSD
1194/1196 resistance
1187/1185 support
The Fed’s monetary policy meeting record shows the hawkish stance and supports the pace of interest rate hikes. Progress in North American trade negotiations, market risk sentiment improved, negative for gold, have the opportunity to test 1192, and further develop to 1180 important support.
US crude oil futures:
66.75/66.35 support
68.35/68.75 resistance
The decline in crude oil inventories has spurred a rebound in oil prices. Following the early focus on maintaining $64 support, it is currently focusing on the important resistance above $69.
BTCUSD:
6567 / 6780 resistance
6070 / 5970 support
The market keeps expected bathe US fed hike in coming next month. It seems negative for the demand and interest in crypto currencies. Also, many restrictions for crypto currencies also negative to the crypto currencies trend will face downward. If the US data showed strong, crypto currencies could downward.
The above is for reference only; the market is risky and investment needs to be cautious. Trading must included risk management! Wish Happy trading!
Information provided by ATFX, Chief Analyst of Asia Pacific: Martin Lam
Registered Australian Accountant/ Certified Professional Manager / Certified Financial
Advisor Experienced Investor / Media Market Commentator Martin Lam has Over 17 years’ experience in global investment market. Familiar with the worldwide stock indices, precious metals such Gold and Silver, Crude oil and Forex. He operated Martin Currency Trading Company and had partnership with a number of well-known international financial corporations and institutions. Before he join ATFX, he was TeleTrade Greater China development and Sales Director. Mr. Lam attends Hong Kong Now TV and China CCTV finance channel once a week. He also had regularly invited by different media, such as DBC Digital Financial Channel, Hong Kong Economic Times, The Standard, Ming Pao to share his experience to trade in Forex, Precious metals, Crude oil and worldwide stock indices.
wechat: ATFX_China
Legal: ATFX is a trading name of AT Global Markets Limited (ATGM, registration number 24226 IBC 2017). ATGM is an International Business Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Registered address is : the Financial Services Centre, Stoney Ground, Kingstown, St.Vincent & the Grenadines.