Buy Windows
Price is on a consolidation range right now on the GBPUSD, so we could put a BUY STOP @ 1.9500,target point @ 1.9531,with a 35 pip stop loss
Helloo Currency Traders,
Hope you'all enjoying the weekend. Lets review what happened yesterday on the GBPUSD.
Price is on a consolidation range right now on the GBPUSD, so we could put a BUY STOP @ 1.9500,target point @ 1.9531,with a 35 pip stop loss
Maybe I took too much black coffee, no sugar, no cream, like my guy roussell
..Well, we got stopped out before price reversed and rocketed up from our initial target of 1.9531 to 1.9596, approximately 65 more pips than projected. Imagine what you could do with that pile of moolah when you dont argue with money in the bank.
So what happened?How come we got stopped out?This involved not properly observing the difference between a trend and a retracement, while wrongly applying the BUY/SELL WINDOW in the opposite direction..
BUY/SELL windows are one part of trading tools used to implement the ''BUY THE DIPS, SELL THE RALLIES'' rule, a la John Crane's book ''Advanced Swing Trading''
. A buy window is used in an uptrend, while a sell window is used in a downtrend. A 60% buy/sell window is used in trends and retracements in order to know where price might retrace.
'well, during live forex trading, most traders make a recurring mistake of mistaking trends from retracement. A trend occurs when price makes higher highs and higher lows(uptrend) or lower lows and lower highs(downtrend). while a retracement is a price movement in the opposite direction of the previous trend. Buy the dips, sell the rally refers to the retracements of an upward or downward trend..
a general observation of the markets shows that they do not trade in a straight line. There is always a struggle for control between the bears (sellers) and the bulls. In this struggle, each side enjoys victories and defeats.
For example, if a market makes a nice bottom formation after an extended downward move and then retraces up to a price where many chart readers believe the market will run into resistance, the bearish traders will move in and sell. The bearish traders believe that the trend is still down and this correction provides a good selling opportunity.'
So lets illustrate what we are trying to say here, by use of charts;
On the 13th of May, we had a HIGH of 1.9588, which then commenced a LOW of 1.9362.Since it was in a downtrend,we use the SELL WINDOW to ''SELL THE RALLIES''.
The total price range of the original move from A to B is 1.9588-1.9362=0.0226
Now multiple the range by 60% SELL WINDOW= 0.0226* 0.6=0.01356
Add this total to the low; 0.01356+1.9362=1.9498(SELL WINDOW).
This price(1.9498) was the begining of the SELL WINDOW in which we could take a selling position and go short. Observe as price knocked the 1.9498 SELL WINDOW which is now a resistance area.
Knowing in advance where a market is likely to reverse or at least run into support or resistance can help give any trader an EDGE only when ENTERING or EXITING a trade.
This time 15th of May, price formed a new low A(1.9403) and a high of B(1.9525). since it was in an uptrend,I should have used the BUY WINDOW to ''BUY THE DIPS''.
The total price range of the original move from this current A to B is 1.9525-1.9403=0.0122
Now multiply the range by 60% BUY WINDOW=0.0122*0.6=0.00732
Subtract this total from the high; 1.9525-0.00732=1.9452(BUY WINDOW)
This price(1.9452) was the begining of the BUY WINDOW in which I should have placed a BUY STOP and go long. Observe that price formed an INSIDE CANDLE BAR formation(like a railway track) at that area, found support then and went up.
So guys, that was where I made my error...Stuff happens,right? Like my friend nine would say'' 1 AM RESPONSIBLE!':cheesy:.. The most important thing is to go back, know where you made the error, study and learn from it, then move on.
Well, from what was written above, who could help project where price on GBPUSD is going to be by market open on Monday?
First 2 traders that gets the price right BEFORE MONDAY OPEN would have FREE coaching sessions on the CHART PATTERN RECOGNITION AND PRICE PROJECTION STRATEGY.
Please feel free to ask any questions or make any comments.