GOLD PRO WEEKLY , August 14 - 18, 2017

Good morning,

(Reuters) - Gold was mostly steady early on Friday amid weaker Asian stocks, with some investors gravitating towards safe-haven assets on political uncertainty in the United States and after a van mowed through crowds in Barcelona, killing at least 13 people.

FUNDAMENTALS
* Spot gold was nearly unchanged at $1,286.60 per ounce by 0113 GMT, after climbing for two straight days.
* U.S. gold futures for December delivery were flat at $1,292.60 per ounce.

* Asian stock investors joined a global retreat from riskier assets on Friday and the dollar wavered on growing doubts about U.S. President Donald Trump's ability to fulfil his economic agenda.

* A manhunt was underway for the driver of a van that mowed through crowds of tourists on Barcelona's most famous avenue on Thursday, killing at least 13 people in an attack that was claimed by Islamic State.

* Financial markets are warning of weakness in the U.S. economy, so the Federal Reserve should be "very patient and judicious" as it considers whether to raise interest rates, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said on Thursday.

* Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Thursday that the Fed would take into consideration the state of government efforts to raise the federal debt limit in deciding when to start winding down the central bank's large bond portfolio.

* The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to near a six-month low last week, pointing to a further tightening in the labour market that could encourage the Federal Reserve to lay out a plan to start unwinding its massive bond portfolio.

* European Central Bank policymakers worried about a possible overshoot in the euro when they met on July 20, warning that easy financing conditions "could not be taken for granted" and depended on the ECB's easy policy, minutes of the meeting showed on Thursday.

* Euro zone government bond yields fell across the board on Thursday after published remarks from policymakers in both Europe and the United States suggested they were cautious about withdrawing monetary stimulus too quickly.

* The United States and South Korea will go ahead with joint military drills next week, the top U.S. military official said on Thursday, resisting pressure from North Korea and its ally China to halt the contentious exercises.


Gold market stands on marche and mostly confirms our idea of 1300 target and may be even 1320. Just few minutes ago gold has taken out previous tops, but still stands slightly below major daily 1296 highs. Formally, bullish grabbers have been completed, but gold never leaves important tops without attention and, there is a good chance that we will get W&R, at least.:
gold_d_18_08_17.png


Our B&B yesterday was a bit volatile but has started mostly well. So, if you've taken longs - better is to keep it with b/e stop.
If you've missed entry but thinking about go long here - gold is forming butterfly "Sell" pattern. Hardly we will get reversal but some minor retracement, inside of butterfly swing is possible. So, here we should think fast as retracement probably will be small and very short-term:
gold_4h_18_08_17.png
 
Yeah Rahman. Indeed. But here is another thing is coming. Yesterday US Treasury has announced 500 Bln (!!!!) bonds issue for 3rd Q. Such amount is very large, it has not been seen on market since 2008 crush. It seems that they see something, I do not know, may be dollar stands under hazard of devaluation (it is possible, if we will take a look at USD Index). But definitely this is artificial step to support US currency by drying liquidity. Half of a trillion will be put in bonds...And this is happening on a background of Fed balance clearance.
It means that we do not know something. Stats and media tells that US economy is improving (so as Fed) - put 0.5 Trln bonds and dry liquidity in this situation looks a bit curious...

Well, the US President Trump is not helping much with his tweets and off-the-cuffs remarks. Makes me jittery over the state of the USD.

All the best Sive!
 
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