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Global Markets have started the week off quietly because the markets in the UK and Europe remained closed on Monday to mark the Easter Holiday. However, the volatility is expected to pick up later this week due to high-impact economic events like US CPI and FOMC meeting minutes, which will exhibit sharp movements in the global markets.
This week all eyes will be turning to the US inflation data which will give us the latest insight into whether inflation continues to rise further upside. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its March inflation data on Wednesday. Economists forecast that US consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose by 5.2 per cent year-on-year in March.
On the earnings front, the companies scheduled to release their last quarter financial results this week will be JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citi and Delta Airlines.
GOLD
The safe-haven metal started the new week slightly lower as investors are trading cautiously ahead of Wednesday's release of the consumer price index reading for March, which will provide hints to the Federal Reserve`s plans for future monetary tightening. The US CPI data is the key release this week for gold. However, traders will also be watching the FOMC meeting minutes which are also set to be released on Wednesday.
This week as long as the metal trades above $1980 levels, the medium-term uptrend will remain in place. If the bullish momentum continues the next upside levels to watch are $2020 and $2035/50. On the downside, $2000 is the immediate support level, followed by $1985. Further selling pressure will intensify only if the metal break below the $1974/72 levels.
DOLLAR INDEX
The US dollar index slightly regained momentum on Friday after the release of a mixed US employment report. The data showed hiring slowed in the U.S. economy last month while the unemployment rate unexpectedly edged lower to 3.5%. While the greenback daily chart is still biased to the downside and still possible we will get further downside as the chart has downward pressure.
DXY closed above 102 on Friday. Technically the overall momentum remains mixed. On the downside, 101.40 is the crucial support area to watch. If the pair breaks below 101.40, the slump will quickly extend toward the 101 and 100.80 marks. On the upper side, the first immediate resistance is around 102.30 and then 102.80 and 103.
EURUSD
The currency pair could see a resumption of the upside move this week if the pair holds the current bullish momentum. However, considering the recent strong rebound, the US dollar movement will continue to play a vital role in the Euro's future direction. The main attraction for EURO this week is the German inflation figures and Eurozone retail sales.
Technically the overall momentum remains bullish. However, we can see that the pair slightly reversed from the highs after touching a fresh 2-month high. This week, If the bullish momentum continues the next key resistance area to watch is 1.1000 then 1.1030. On the upper side, If the pair is failed to extend the upside momentum and presses back below 1.0840 then the key support area to watch is 1.0790.
DOW JONES
Dow Jones and other US index futures hardly moved on Friday following the release of US jobs reports due to the holiday-shortened trading week with U.S. markets closed for Good Friday. This week the first quarter of 2023 bank's earnings season is arguably the biggest focus for the Dow traders after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month.
The Dow remained in a range above 33,000 last week, and the initial bias remains neutral for the upcoming week. The key resistance is located for the dow around 34,000, a break above this level will confirm a possible move to 34,300/500. On the downside, any meaningful pullback now seems to find some support near the 33,300 zones, below which the slide could further get extended towards the 33,900 and then 32,800 regions.
Read more - https://gulfbrokers.com/en/weekly-review-gold-usd-eurusd-and-dow-jones-75
This week all eyes will be turning to the US inflation data which will give us the latest insight into whether inflation continues to rise further upside. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its March inflation data on Wednesday. Economists forecast that US consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose by 5.2 per cent year-on-year in March.
On the earnings front, the companies scheduled to release their last quarter financial results this week will be JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citi and Delta Airlines.
GOLD
The safe-haven metal started the new week slightly lower as investors are trading cautiously ahead of Wednesday's release of the consumer price index reading for March, which will provide hints to the Federal Reserve`s plans for future monetary tightening. The US CPI data is the key release this week for gold. However, traders will also be watching the FOMC meeting minutes which are also set to be released on Wednesday.
This week as long as the metal trades above $1980 levels, the medium-term uptrend will remain in place. If the bullish momentum continues the next upside levels to watch are $2020 and $2035/50. On the downside, $2000 is the immediate support level, followed by $1985. Further selling pressure will intensify only if the metal break below the $1974/72 levels.
DOLLAR INDEX
The US dollar index slightly regained momentum on Friday after the release of a mixed US employment report. The data showed hiring slowed in the U.S. economy last month while the unemployment rate unexpectedly edged lower to 3.5%. While the greenback daily chart is still biased to the downside and still possible we will get further downside as the chart has downward pressure.
DXY closed above 102 on Friday. Technically the overall momentum remains mixed. On the downside, 101.40 is the crucial support area to watch. If the pair breaks below 101.40, the slump will quickly extend toward the 101 and 100.80 marks. On the upper side, the first immediate resistance is around 102.30 and then 102.80 and 103.
EURUSD
The currency pair could see a resumption of the upside move this week if the pair holds the current bullish momentum. However, considering the recent strong rebound, the US dollar movement will continue to play a vital role in the Euro's future direction. The main attraction for EURO this week is the German inflation figures and Eurozone retail sales.
Technically the overall momentum remains bullish. However, we can see that the pair slightly reversed from the highs after touching a fresh 2-month high. This week, If the bullish momentum continues the next key resistance area to watch is 1.1000 then 1.1030. On the upper side, If the pair is failed to extend the upside momentum and presses back below 1.0840 then the key support area to watch is 1.0790.
DOW JONES
Dow Jones and other US index futures hardly moved on Friday following the release of US jobs reports due to the holiday-shortened trading week with U.S. markets closed for Good Friday. This week the first quarter of 2023 bank's earnings season is arguably the biggest focus for the Dow traders after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month.
The Dow remained in a range above 33,000 last week, and the initial bias remains neutral for the upcoming week. The key resistance is located for the dow around 34,000, a break above this level will confirm a possible move to 34,300/500. On the downside, any meaningful pullback now seems to find some support near the 33,300 zones, below which the slide could further get extended towards the 33,900 and then 32,800 regions.
Read more - https://gulfbrokers.com/en/weekly-review-gold-usd-eurusd-and-dow-jones-75