Pharaoh
Brigadier General
- Messages
- 20,309
I think you've slightly overstated my case. I am inherently against bucketshops in the same way that I am inherently against letting your IB operate as an account manager - there's a huge built-in conflict of interest. For managed accounts, it's easy to avoid - get a manager who is ONLY paid via high watermark and gets no other compensation from the broker. For trading, use an ECN/STP broker or a market maker that frequently (1 minute or less) hedges its net positions. Binary brokers don't have this ability, so the conflict of interest is a permanent part of the whole industry.
Nadex and every other binary broker out there is 100% bucketshop with no LPs. There are a number of forex brokers in the same category. Why would a forex broker do this? Simple - as long as the net losses are larger than the next profits for all clients, it's a cash cow. The problem is that a few smart clients can keep compounding their winnings and the cow produces less milk for the company.
I also CLEARLY said that well regulated casinos are in the same category. Unlike binary brokers, physical casinos do have additional revenue streams such as restaurants, shows, and souvenirs, but the gaming floor is the core of the business and prime source of income.
I said that as far as I'm concerned the only 2 regulators I'd trust for dealing with binary brokers are the US and UK regulators. If the Swiss start regulating BO brokers, I'll think about adding them to my list. For all other regulators, I want to see some enforcement actions taken. Cysec has already proven themselves barely capable of levying small fines and kicking out bad forex brokers. I'm waiting to see if they'll do anything against the binary brokers who keep breaking the regulations about locking up initial deposits.
Just like forex brokers, it's possible to have an under-regulated or unregulated binary broker that's honest. And, just like forex brokers, those under-regulated and unregulated binary brokers are capable of turning dishonest or disappearing with all the money.
Nowhere did I state that binary options is a guarantee of financial failure or scam. Based on the complaints, I'd say the scam percentages of binary brokers far exceed that of forex brokers.
What I did say is that if too many of the traders/gamblers at ANY bucketshop get too good at the games, then I can 100% guarantee that any honest bucketshop will find itself in danger of bankruptcy.
This leads to 2 things.
1. By always playing against the customers, the only solution other than bankruptcy is to legally adjust things in favor of the house/broker (downgrade payout percentages, add that 2nd green spot to the roulette wheel, widen spreads, etc.)
2. Give into temptation and start to do things that are less than legal. The Nevada gaming commission wasn't created just to rubber stamp all those "honest" casinos. It was created to force them to be honest. The origins of the CFTC, SEC, NFA, FCA, ASIC, etc. are exactly the same - to clean up the mess in the dishonest financial industry. After all, if everyone was honest, we wouldn't need regulators and police officers.
Benie Madhoff didn't start out running the world's largest Ponzi scheme. He suffered some reversals and just couldn't admit to clients that things were bad. How many other "good" and "honest" financial companies can you count than embraced the dark side when things went bad?
Chances are than there will be a large enough supply of losing traders to keep Nadex honest and profitable for many years to come. I hope you enjoy a long and profitable time placing binary wagers with them. Just don't try to fool yourself into thinking that 1 cent of Nadex's income or 1 cent of profits you withdraw comes from a liquidity provider or from any source other than losses of other clients.
Show me how Nadex isn't 100% a bucketshop and I'll happily rethink my position. Until then, I'll stick to well-regulated forex brokers that clearly advertise who their LPs are. If I get an urge to play in a bucketshop, my personal preference is the dollar slot machines. The payout percentages are far higher than BO, and no one will block be from cashing my chips at the end of the day. Ask me nicely and I'll even let you in on a tip that can sometimes tweak those payout percentages a little higher.
Nadex and every other binary broker out there is 100% bucketshop with no LPs. There are a number of forex brokers in the same category. Why would a forex broker do this? Simple - as long as the net losses are larger than the next profits for all clients, it's a cash cow. The problem is that a few smart clients can keep compounding their winnings and the cow produces less milk for the company.
I also CLEARLY said that well regulated casinos are in the same category. Unlike binary brokers, physical casinos do have additional revenue streams such as restaurants, shows, and souvenirs, but the gaming floor is the core of the business and prime source of income.
I said that as far as I'm concerned the only 2 regulators I'd trust for dealing with binary brokers are the US and UK regulators. If the Swiss start regulating BO brokers, I'll think about adding them to my list. For all other regulators, I want to see some enforcement actions taken. Cysec has already proven themselves barely capable of levying small fines and kicking out bad forex brokers. I'm waiting to see if they'll do anything against the binary brokers who keep breaking the regulations about locking up initial deposits.
Just like forex brokers, it's possible to have an under-regulated or unregulated binary broker that's honest. And, just like forex brokers, those under-regulated and unregulated binary brokers are capable of turning dishonest or disappearing with all the money.
Nowhere did I state that binary options is a guarantee of financial failure or scam. Based on the complaints, I'd say the scam percentages of binary brokers far exceed that of forex brokers.
What I did say is that if too many of the traders/gamblers at ANY bucketshop get too good at the games, then I can 100% guarantee that any honest bucketshop will find itself in danger of bankruptcy.
This leads to 2 things.
1. By always playing against the customers, the only solution other than bankruptcy is to legally adjust things in favor of the house/broker (downgrade payout percentages, add that 2nd green spot to the roulette wheel, widen spreads, etc.)
2. Give into temptation and start to do things that are less than legal. The Nevada gaming commission wasn't created just to rubber stamp all those "honest" casinos. It was created to force them to be honest. The origins of the CFTC, SEC, NFA, FCA, ASIC, etc. are exactly the same - to clean up the mess in the dishonest financial industry. After all, if everyone was honest, we wouldn't need regulators and police officers.
Benie Madhoff didn't start out running the world's largest Ponzi scheme. He suffered some reversals and just couldn't admit to clients that things were bad. How many other "good" and "honest" financial companies can you count than embraced the dark side when things went bad?
Chances are than there will be a large enough supply of losing traders to keep Nadex honest and profitable for many years to come. I hope you enjoy a long and profitable time placing binary wagers with them. Just don't try to fool yourself into thinking that 1 cent of Nadex's income or 1 cent of profits you withdraw comes from a liquidity provider or from any source other than losses of other clients.
Show me how Nadex isn't 100% a bucketshop and I'll happily rethink my position. Until then, I'll stick to well-regulated forex brokers that clearly advertise who their LPs are. If I get an urge to play in a bucketshop, my personal preference is the dollar slot machines. The payout percentages are far higher than BO, and no one will block be from cashing my chips at the end of the day. Ask me nicely and I'll even let you in on a tip that can sometimes tweak those payout percentages a little higher.