1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 04/05/2010

Discussion in 'Market Predictions and Reports' started by Forexpros2, May 4, 2010.

  1. Forexpros2

    Forexpros2 Recruit

    Oct 12, 2009
    Likes Received:
    ForexPros Daily Analysis May 4, 2010

    Free webinar on ForexPros - "Money Management for Forex & Futures"

    Expert: Mark Hodge, Rockwell Trading
    When: Wed, May 12, 2010, 10:00 EST

    Money Management is one of the keys to becoming a consistent and self-sufficient trader. But many traders are unaware of what money management really is and how it can have a dramatic effect on growing and protecting their trade equity. In this FREE webinar, Mark Hodge (Head Coach of Rockwell Trading) will cover the following important topics:

    * What money management is and what it isn't
    * Share several different money management techniques
    * Show why Fixed Ratio Money Management is his favorite

    This webinar is #2 in a 3-part educational series brought to you by Rockwell Trading.

    here to join free.

    Fundamental Analysis: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change

    Traders of the US anticipate the publication of the ADP National Employment Report. It is a measure of the monthly change of nonfarm private employment, based on a subset of aggregated and anonymous payroll data that represents approximately 400,000 U.S. business clients. This release, 2 days before the government-released employment data , is a good predictive to the government's non-farm payrolls data. The change in this indicator can be very volatile. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. Analysts predict a future reading of 30.00k.


    Euro Dollar

    The Euro broke Fibonacci 61.8% support for the short term at 1.3202, and fell to 1.3153. Although we did not reach the suggested target for this break, it was a pretty important break, since it weakened the technical outlook, because this support was the last notable support protecting this cycle’s low, and the 1-year low, 1.3113. Thus, after breaking 1.3202, the odds favor a dip below 1.3113 to reach a new cycle low. We expect the Dollar to launch an attack at this level immediately after breaking the short term support 1.3173. If this support is broken, the pair will target 1.3113 first, and then 1.3050, the last notable support before the 1.30 landmark. The resistance is at 1.3273, it is very hard for us to picture the EURUSD in a positive technical outlook while it is trading below this level. But if it does break this level, it will be free of most of the pressure, and it will target 1.3354 and may be 1.3434.

    • 1.3173: important intraday support, protecting yesterday’s low.
    • 1.3113: Mar 30th 2009 low.
    • 1.3050: Apr 20th 2009 high.

    • 1.3273: Fibonacci 61.8% for the short term.
    • 1.3354: Apr 6th high.
    • 1.3434: the important low of Mar 2nd.



    The Dollar/Yen broke the resistance specified in yesterday’s report, 94.30, and came close to our suggested target 95.05 (the high until the moment of preparing this report is 94.96). This rising trend finally penetrated 94.30, and managed to reach a new year-high at 94.96, the highest level for this pair since Aug 25th. This rising trend, is not a whole world away from the most important support for the time being, which combines short term Fibonacci 61.8% with the rising trend line from 91.58 on the hourly charts. For the short term, support is at 94.77, if we go back to trade below this level, the USDJPY will be correcting yesterday’s rising move, or even the whole rise from 92.80. The targets for this correction will be 94.13 first, and then the all important 93.63. On the other hand, the resistance is at yesterday’s target 95.05. If broken, it will be hard for any other resistance to stop the price before reaching 96 , where the targets 95.90 & 96.69 awaits.

    • 94.77: Apr 5th high.
    • 94.13: Fibonacci 38.2% for the short term.
    • 93.63: Fibonacci 61.8% for the short term, and the rising trend line from 91.58.

    • 95.05: Aug 24th high.
    • 95.90: Jul 29th low.
    • 96.69: May 19th 2009 high.


    Forex Trading Analysis written by Munther Marji for ForexPros.



    Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex transactions involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Share This Page