Global Markets React to Business Activity Data and Economic Uncertainty

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Asian-Pacific markets recovered from earlier losses, driven by the evaluation of private business activity surveys in Japan and Australia, along with South Korea's October producer price index. European markets cautiously opened higher on Tuesday, with investors monitoring the latest Eurozone business activity data.

In Japan, flash estimates from au Jibun Bank revealed a contraction in business activity in October, marking the first decline since December 2022. The composite purchasing managers index dropped to 49.9 from 52.1 in September, primarily due to a sharper decline in manufacturing activity. Australia also witnessed a decline in business activity, hitting a 21-month low in October, as reported by Juno Bank. The composite purchasing manager's index fell to 47.3 from 51.5 the previous month, with manufacturing PMI at a six-month low of 48.0 and services PMI at a 10-month low of 47.6.

Meanwhile, Treasuries are bouncing back after prominent market bears warned of an economic slowdown, raising expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The erratic swings in government debt are unsettling investors due to the challenge of predicting when the Fed will halt rate hikes amid a resilient economy.

Preliminary Eurozone purchasing manager's index data for October is eagerly awaited, providing insights into the performance of the manufacturing and services sectors.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, started the week trading above the critical $30,000 resistance level, building on gains from the previous week, driven by optimism about the potential launch of the first spot Bitcoin ETF and a flight to safety.
 
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