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Euro will have a busy day today, all eyes will turn to the European Central Banks monetary policy decision, due at 11.45 GMT, ECB is expected to provide clues about the timeline on interest rate hikes amid rising inflationary pressures. The EURUSD slightly retreats from the highs while the currency pair carries the momentum initiated during the previous session as the traders anticipate multiple rate hikes from the ECB for the rest of the year.
During the April ECB meeting, the ECB president Lagarde Christine said that the bank would raise interest rates “some time after” ending its pandemic stimulus efforts later this year.
EQUITIES
Asian shares traded lower on Thursday despite the release of better-than-expected Chinese economic data. While European shares opened slightly lower as investors awaited the outcome of the ECB meeting.
OIL
Crude oil futures reversed from the fresh monthly highs that followed a surprise increase in U.S. crude inventories. The EIA data showed the US crude inventories unexpectedly rose by 2.025 million barrels last week. However, the overall momentum remained bullish for this whole week.
CURRENCIES
In the currency market, the US dollar remained in demand as the high inflation rates continue to encourage safe-haven demand. The British pound fell below 1.2500 against the USD and the currency pair remains undecided as to which way its next directional break will be after the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson survived the no-confidence vote on Monday.
GOLD
The precious metal was largely subdued on Wednesday as investors awaited U.S. consumer price data for cues on whether inflation was peaking. On Tuesday, the US Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen said that inflation is likely to remain high, I think that bringing inflation down should be our number one priority.
Economic Outlook
On the data front, China's exports rebounded strongly in May. Exports increased 16.9 percent on year in May, up from 3.9 percent in April. The Imports to China rose by 4.1 percent year-on-year in May, compared to the market estimates of 2.0 percent.
Moving ahead today, the important events to watch:
Eurozone – ECB interest rate decision and statement: GMT – 11.45
Eurozone – ECB press conference: GMT – 12.30
US – Jobless claims: GMT – 12.30
Coronavirus update:
Worldwide, more than 531 million people have been confirmed infected and more than 6.29 million have died. The United States has confirmed over 84 million cases and has had more than 1008,400 deaths from COVID-19, the highest total in the world.
Technical Outlook and Review
EURUSD: For today, the first nearest support level is located at 1.0660. In case it breaks below this level, it will head towards the next support level which is located near 1.0640/20. On the upside, 1.0750 will act as an immediate and strong hurdle while 1.0780 will be a critical resistance zone because above this, bulls are likely to dominate.
The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1.0660 and 1.0620 Resistance- 1.0780 and 1.0830.
GOLD: The yellow metal trading weaker below $1850 supported by $1840. Today, gold is again expected to face resistance around $1,860/62 along with the support around $1840 and $1835.
The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1840 and 1835 Resistance- 1862 and 1870.
Quote of the day - The act of saving and investing money regularly will significantly change the way you live your life in the future.
Read more - https://gulfbrokers.com/en/daily-market-report-508