Price manipulation in the Forex market - Observation in the Euro/US Dollar
Price manipulation in the Forex market - Observation in the Euro/US Dollar
A very important aspect in Trading Forex in my opinion is that price is most often pushed/ (particular at news release) to slightly penetrate or break Support/Resistance zones (for example recent Highs/Lows/Pivot Points or in general where stops are anticipated) to trigger the stops and often reversing after completing the stop run and targeting the opposite zone where stops are anticipated (for example the stops of the fooled breakout traders). The manipulation aims to catch the stops and to fool breakout traders at Support and Resistance or striking levels for example highs/lows and psychological numbers. This allows market manipulators to position themselves against the mainstream trader (setup). This may explain why most of the traders and mainstream trading strategies fail and will fail in the future.
Thus, an efficient way to successfully trade forex might be to accept and understand the way of market manipulation. Hence, it becomes important to analyze the intention of the manipulator, which is to catch stops of the mainstream traders and to fool them into bad mainstream setups by moving the market in the opposite direction targeting the mainstream stop zone e.g. at popular Support/ Resistance. Mainstream setups only work out when they are related to the manipulator's strategy. So it often falls back to the manipulator's trading strategy but if the mainstream trading strategy will work out, which probably is statistically insignificant , then this often reinforces the hype about the mainstream trading strategies, which are mostly fooling traders into bad setups and give manipulators the advantage to know how most of the traders trade, including the location of their stop/limit order positions.
Furthermore, there are many algorithmic trading programs of the market manipulators, which are automatically employed on the short term time frames like 1 min, 5 min,hourly..., programmed to use their market power to move market against the mainstream traders to shift the odds of successfully trading forex heavily against them.
In general, I would argue that stop running on at least the shorter time frames should be accepted by traders and that it should play an important part in a traders day and swing trading strategy to successfully trade forex. A wise alternativae would be to stay away from forex.
More about forex manipulation at:
EUR/USD Technical Chart Analysis/ Patterns Euro US Dollar Day Trading Signals/ Setups Forex Market: Price Manipulation in Forex