ForexTechnical Analysis(FxGlory)

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of AUD/USD dated 08.05.2013

As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 01.05.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility of a price downfall which finally happened. Sellers could reach to the lowest price of 1.01529 which is recorded as a bottom price and warns the potential for ascending of the price. During this price downfall, the price has been stopped from more descending by reaching to the area of important supportive levels made of 3 bottom prices date back to 2012.

According to the formed movements in 4H time frame, between the top price of 1.03840 and bottom price of 1.03840 there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for ascending of the price. Stoch indicator in 4H time frame is in saturation sell area and according to the next cycle confirms the D point of this pattern and warns about the potential of ascending during the next candles( because of not being in the same direction with long term time frame it is not much valid).

In daily time frame, the price by making a peak price under a descending trend line starts to fall and right now it is under 5-day moving average. It also warns about the potential for descending of the price, so the ascending signals are less in 4H time frame and if the mentioned supportive level breaks, the field for more descend in this currency pair will be prepared. Until the supportive range is preserved, the price will have the potential for ascending.

FxGlory
2013.05.08

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of AUD/USD dated 08.05.2013

As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 01.05.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility of a price downfall which finally happened. Sellers could reach to the lowest price of 1.01529 which is recorded as a bottom price and warns the potential for ascending of the price. During this price downfall, the price has been stopped from more descending by reaching to the area of important supportive levels made of 3 bottom prices date back to 2012.

According to the formed movements in 4H time frame, between the top price of 1.03840 and bottom price of 1.03840 there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for ascending of the price. Stoch indicator in 4H time frame is in saturation sell area and according to the next cycle confirms the D point of this pattern and warns about the potential of ascending during the next candles( because of not being in the same direction with long term time frame it is not much valid).

In daily time frame, the price by making a peak price under a descending trend line starts to fall and right now it is under 5-day moving average. It also warns about the potential for descending of the price, so the ascending signals are less in 4H time frame and if the mentioned supportive level breaks, the field for more descend in this currency pair will be prepared. Until the supportive range is preserved, the price will have the potential for ascending.

FxGlory
2013.05.08

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF dated 09.05.2013

As it was mentioned in the previous analysis of this currency pair dated 19.04.2013, according to the formed signs in this price chart, there was the possibility of price ascending which finally happened.Buyers could reach to the highest price of 1.46562 which is recorded as a peak price. As it is obvious in the picture below, price has been stopped by reaching to the descending trend line made of 4 peak prices and also resistance edge of uptrend channel and by creating a top price it has descended.

According to the formed movements in daily chart of this currency pair, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 between bottom price of 1.39621 and the top price of 1.46562 that by completion of the D point in this pattern, there is warning for descending of the price and changing price direction. Right now the first warning for descending of the price (in the same direction with harmonic pattern’s signal) is breaking of the supportive level of 1.45073.
According to this point in long term interval, there is a potential for ascending of the price in this currency pair. Sell signals in midterm time frames are temporary and risky. By breaking of the descending trend line and technical AB=CD pattern, there is a warning for more ascend in this currency pair.

FxGlory
2013.05.09

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of USD/CAD dated 10.05.2013

USD/CAD to the recent price rise, by reaching to the downtrend line specified in the picture below is disable to ascend more and by creating a top price below that started to decline and has fallen. The mentioned down trend line is one of the important resistance levels on long term price range. The sellers were successful in reaching to the lowest price of 1.00122. Price has been stopped from more descend during a downfall by reaching to the uptrend line (consisting of two bottom prices) and Fibonacci support level of 127.2 that shows exit of sellers and their use of these levels for their trades’ purposes . This price level is recorded as a bottom price by an uptrend candle and it prepares the field for the possible ascending of the price during the next days.

According to the formed movements in the chart, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 between top price of 1.03392 and the bottom price of 1.00122 that warns about the potential of ascending from the endpoint of this pattern. Stoch indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area and also it is in divergence mode with the price chart that confirms the created bottom price on the uptrend line and warns about the potential of changing price direction. Generally according to the mentioned signs, until the bottom price of 1.00122 is preserved, the price will have the potential for increasing.

FxGlory
2013.05.10

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of USD/JPY dated 13.05.2013

USD /JPY pair from the end of 2012 till now was in a strong and without reformation uptrend that shows buyers determination to achieve predetermined targets. Price during the recent uptrend was able to record the highest price of 102.135 which is possible to convert to a top price in 4H time frame. Some buyers at the end of the previous week tried to cash their trades by approaching to the round resistance level of 102.000 that caused the formation of Shooting Star candlestick pattern under this important resistance level. The mentioned pattern warns about the potential for formation of a top price and the failure of buyers in reaching to the higher prices that for the confirmation it needs closing of a descending candle.

As it is obvious in the picture below,there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 between the bottom price of 95.801 and the top price of 102.135 that warns changing price direction from D point. RSI indicator is in saturation buy area and confirms the harmonic D point and potential for descending of the price. One of the important warnings for descending of the price is formation of the candlestick pattern in daily time frame or closing of a descending candle which prepares the field for descending of the price.

FxGlory
2013.05.13

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of USD/JPY dated 13.05.2013

USD /JPY pair from the end of 2012 till now was in a strong and without reformation uptrend that shows buyers determination to achieve predetermined targets. Price during the recent uptrend was able to record the highest price of 102.135 which is possible to convert to a top price in 4H time frame. Some buyers at the end of the previous week tried to cash their trades by approaching to the round resistance level of 102.000 that caused the formation of Shooting Star candlestick pattern under this important resistance level. The mentioned pattern warns about the potential for formation of a top price and the failure of buyers in reaching to the higher prices that for the confirmation it needs closing of a descending candle.

As it is obvious in the picture below,there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 between the bottom price of 95.801 and the top price of 102.135 that warns changing price direction from D point. RSI indicator is in saturation buy area and confirms the harmonic D point and potential for descending of the price. One of the important warnings for descending of the price is formation of the candlestick pattern in daily time frame or closing of a descending candle which prepares the field for descending of the price.

FxGlory
2013.05.13

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of EUR/CAD dated 14.05.2013

EUR/CAD during the recent uptrend by reaching to the resistance range, obvious in the picture below, in 17.04.2013 after testing of the descending trend line has been fallen down. Sellers during this downtrend were successful in achieving the lowest level of 1.30647 that by passing of the price from this level, there is the potential for more descend and moving toward the important supportive level of 1.29456.right now the price during the downfall by reaching to the ascending trend line ( made of two bottom prices ) has been stooped from more descending and if the ascending candle closes at the end of today, the price level of 1.30647 will record as a bottom price that warns about changing price direction.

As it is obvious in the chart below, Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area and also in divergence mode with the price chart that warns about changing price direction during the next candles and confirms the third point of this ascending trend line. The first warning for ascending of the price is breaking of the 1.31442 level and then by passing of the downtrend channel. According to the current situation until the ascending trend line is preserved, there is a potential for ascending of the price toward the descending trend line.

FxGlory
2013.05.14

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of AUD/NZD dated 15.05.2013

AUD/NZD has experienced a strong downtrend during the recent month that the sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price of 1.19493. price has been stopped from more descending by reaching to the supportive level made of two bottom prices and also the important round supportive level of 1.20000 ( sellers use this round level to exit their trades) and creating a bottom price. According to the formed movements in the chart, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 78.6 and 127.2 between top price of 1.28260 and the bottom price of 1.19493 that warns about changing price direction from the D point of this pattern.

RSI indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area and also it is in divergence mode with the price chart that warns the potential for ascending of the price during the next candles. In weekly time frame the previous week candle was closed as a Doji candlestick pattern that shows the indecision for ascending or descending. If this pattern confirms, there will be the potential for changing price direction. Also Stoch indicator in this time frame is in saturation sell area and warns the ascending of the price according to the next cycle. The first important warning for ascending of the price according to the technical signs is breaking of the resistance level 1.20855. Generally until the bottom price of 1.19493 is preserved, the price has the potential for increase and ascends.

FxGlory
2013.05.15

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of CHF/JPY dated 16.05.2013

CHF/JPY since 25.07.2012 till now had a consistent uptrend that by recent ascending this currency pair is in one of the highest price levels on its own history. Buyers were successful in achieving the highest level of 107.416 and this level is recorded as a top price by the recent descends. In long term intervals (in monthly time frame) price has been stopped from more ascend by reaching to the important resistance line (made of three peak prices) and by the buyers’ doubt and exit of their trades, the price consistency for ascending has been disappeared. As it is obvious in the picture below, there is a butterfly harmonic pattern between the bottom price of 97.440 and top price of 107.416 that warns the price downfall from the D point of this pattern and has been prevented from more increase till now.

As it is obvious in the picture below, in 14th day by creating a peak price of 106.604 (the third point of descending trend line) there is a warning for descending of the price to the ascending trend line and if this resistance line breaks, it will consider a warning for sellers to start an uptrend again. In daily time frame Stoch indicator is in saturation buy area and according to the possible next cycle warns about the potential of descending in the next candles. Also it confirms the mentioned top price. The first warning for descending of the price in current condition is breaking of the supportive level of 105.279.

FxGlory
2013.05.16

 

[FXGLORY]

Technical analysis of AUD/CAD dated 17.05.2013

AUD/CAD since the middle of last month has experienced a strong downtrend with no significant reformation that right now sellers were successful in achieving the lowest price level of 0.99480 during this downfall. Currently this price level in 1H time frame has been established as a bottom price by a bullish candle. As it is obvious in the picture below, price is in downtrend channel in 1H time frame that by coming across the supportive edge of this channel, it has been stopped from more descending and has created a bottom price on it that warns about price reformation.

RSI indicator in this time frame and in 4H time frame is in saturation sell area and in divergence mode with the price chart that warns about the potential of changing price direction and a price reformation. According to the recent downtrend, the price is in supportive range made of 4 bottom prices that warns about the potential of preventing of more descend. According to the issue that some sellers use the blue tape range to exit their trades (also because of the recent strong downtrend), there is the possibility for creating a bottom price and starting a small price reformation. Breaking the downtrend channel is one the warnings for changing price direction for sellers. Generally until the specified supportive range in daily time frame is preserved, the price will have the potential for reformation and ascending.

FxGlory
2013.05.17