Daily Market Overview by FXNET

[Froso@FXNET]

Forex Daily Analysis - 30 July 2014

EUR/USD is flat moving between small gains and losses with a complete lack of momentum with low volumes. The euro is trading at 1.3440. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is also meeting in Washington today and tomorrow, with a further round of tapering expected. US jobs numbers, starting with the ADP non-farm employment change, will also start flowing out tomorrow.

GBP/USD is flat to a bit down in today’s session with no economic data although a speech by MPC member Broadhurst supported the BoE in holding off on interest rate increases for a while. The pound is trading at 1.6982. Data on Friday showed UK gross domestic product expanded by 0.8 per cent in the April-June period, the same strong pace as in the first three months of the year

AUD/USD eased by 3 points against a stronger US dollar to trade at 0.9381. The Aussie is trading in a tight range as the market waits for a clearer picture on the state of the US economic recovery. US gross domestic product data for the June quarter will be released on Wednesday night, Australian time, and US Federal Reserve finishes its two-day policy meeting early on Thursday morning.

USD/JPY climbed above the 102 level and gained a bit more momentum today after a disappointing Japanese industrial production report. The pair is trading at 102.14. The June industrial output fell at the fastest rate since the tsunami in March 2011 as companies slowed production to offset a build-up in inventories, official data showed on Wednesday, clouding the outlook for the economy.

Gold gained $5.80 but with little real conviction or direction as traders begin to position themselves ahead of the FOMC meeting beginning soon. Gold is trading at 1311.60. Gold was little changed just above $1, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. Investors also focused on US jobs data and a Federal Reserve policy meeting this week.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Forex Daily Analysis - 04 Aug 2014

EUR/USD plunged after eurozone and German PMI missed desires. The euro is exchanging at 1.3384 against a developing US dollar in front of the nonfarm payroll report. European markets prop for a heap of March Purchasing Managers' Index last perusing for July, in a substantial logbook in front of the European Central Bank's arrangement meeting one week from now.

GBP/USD gave up 36 points to trade at 1.6849 after UK PMI printed below expectations. Analysts had forecast a print of 57.2 but actual was at 55.4. The US dollar continued to gain ahead of a rash of data today including the monthly nonfarm payroll report due in a few hours. The US currency has strengthened against all major currencies and gold, and its rally versus the British pound was boosted by weaker than expected housing market and confidence data from the UK.

AUD/USD gathered a bit of momentum against the strong US dollar after retail sales beat expectations this morning, but there wasn’t much of a rally as the Aussie added 9 points to trade at 0.9323. Lackluster Chinese nonmanufacturing PMI weighed on the currency. RETAIL sales rose 0.6 per cent in June, and were stronger than expected in the second quarter of the fiscal year, largely owing to strong demand from home furnishings as housing construction starts to accelerate.

USD/JPY is exchanging at 102.65 up by 4 pips as the US dollar continues to gain momentum while the JPY shows weakness. Call for action from the Bank of Japan might indicate additional stimulus this month. Japanese economic data has been lackluster and there might be a downward revision to growth coming this week. Major private-sector think tanks suspect the economy shrank by an annualized rate of 7.4 percent on average from April to June, in price-adjusted real terms.

Gold recovered $3 to trade at 1285.80 ahead of today’s nonfarm payroll report. Traders bought up the cheap asset but it still remains weak. Gold was stuck near a six-week low and headed for a third straight weekly loss, as U.S. economic optimism offset any safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions and lower equities

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Fundamental Analysis August 5
EUR/USD is exchanging at 1.3429 down a pip after Spanish unemployment moved higher than anticipated. The euro was 0.4 percent from its most minimal level versus the dollar since November as financial specialists held the biggest position in two years wagering on a drop in the cash before the locale's national bank meets this week.

GBP/USD gained 7 points to trade at 1.6828 after UK construction PMI beat expectations helping the pound to rally.House price growth will slow sharply in the UK as building work picks up, a stronger pound puts off foreign investors in London property, and the rules around the mortgage market are tightened.

AUD/USD gathered a bit of momentum against the strong US dollar after retail sales beat expectations this morning, but there wasn’t much of a rally as the Aussie added 9 points to trade at 0.9323. Lackluster Chinese nonmanufacturing PMI weighed on the currency. RETAIL sales rose 0.6 per cent in June, and were stronger than expected in the second quarter of the fiscal year, largely owing to strong demand from home furnishings as housing construction starts to accelerate.

USD/JPY is exchanging at 102.65 up by 4 pips as the US dollar continues to gain momentum while the JPY shows weakness. Call for action from the Bank of Japan might indicate additional stimulus this month. Japanese economic data has been lackluster and there might be a downward revision to growth coming this week. Major private-sector think tanks suspect the economy shrank by an annualized rate of 7.4 percent on average from April to June, in price-adjusted real terms.

Gold is trading at 1295.40 basically flat for most of the day, but moving between small gains and losses as traders recover from last week’s big events. Gold is expected to remain flat until the ECB meeting later this week but can move on headlines. Gold traded little changed above a six-week low in London as investors assessed the health of the U.S. economy after last week’s jobs report.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Fundamental Analysis August 6

EUR/USD maneuvered by 34 focuses as dealers start to concentrate on developing financial and saving money issues in the eurozone. The euro tumbled to 1.3388 in front of Thursday's ECB meeting. Later in the day, the spotlight movements to ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite gage. Economists recommend the discharge will reveal to US benefit part development quickened to the speediest pace in 11 months in July.

GBP/USD rallied after a strong Services PMI print beat expectations pushing the pound to 1.6868 up by 7 points. The British currency strengthened against the other key counterparts in the early European session on Tuesday after data showed that U.K. services PMI rose more-than-expected in July.

AUD/USD fell below the 93 price level as the US dollar gained momentum this morning. The AUD gave up 5 points to trade at 0.9299. The Australian dollar is lower after US stocks lost almost one per cent on concerns that the conflict in Ukraine could worsen. Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski told reporters overnight that Russia had increased its military presence on the Ukraine border, suggesting a possible escalation in the conflict.

USD/JPY eased by 7 points as the JPY continued to gather momentum on safe haven trades after Russia moved troops closer to the Ukraine border and President Putin threatened sanctions against the West. Geopolitical tensions continue to raise sending traders to risk off mode.

Gold was a surprise and gained today adding $3.60 to trade at 1292.50 after the US dollar picked up momentum to climb to trade at 81.54 and silver fell. Gold held steady below $1,300 an ounce on Tuesday, although a strong dollar and the first outflow in more than a week from the world’s top bullion fund weighed on sentiment.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Fundamental Analysis August 7
EUR/USD kept on decliing exchanging at 1.3369 after German production line requests missed desires. The euro slipped to a nine-month low on Wednesday, broadening its misfortunes after information demonstrated a sharp drop in German mechanical requests, while the New Zealand dollar took a hit after a fall in dairy costs. A Singapore-based dealer said financial specialist hazard revultion on worries about the strains in Ukraine served to reinforce the dollar extensively, and weighed on the euro.

GBP/USD eased 44 points to trade at 1.6842 after industrial and manufacturing production missed expectations following a drop in PMI last week. Businesses and taking on more staff, but a strong sterling is hurting exports. The Confederation of British Industry (CBI), the UK’s largest business lobbyist, said in its monthly SME manufacturing survey for July that 31% of firms reported output increasing, while 16% said that it decreased, giving a balance of +15%.

AUD/USD took a major fall after the release of unemployment numbers this morning tumbling to 0.9285 down 69 points when just last month traders were hoping to see the currency break 95. The unemployment rate has surged to a 12-year high in July as the number of Australians in jobs went backwards, adding to political pressure on the government.

USD/JPY tumbled on Wednesday to trade at 102.12 and recovered 7 points this morning to reach 102.19 after the greenback lost a bit of its momentum. US data remained positive with the trade balance narrowing well below forecasts as exports skyrocketed again this month. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) looks set to bring no major surprises at its policy meeting this week, but the market will be keeping an ear out for any changes in Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s optimistic stance on the economy.

Gold was steady after climbing in the Asian session adding $6.50 to trade at 1291.80. Gold edged up slightly and could benefit from a bout of market risk aversion as fears of increasing military action along the Ukraine border put global equities under pressure. Geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East have largely been responsible for gold’s 7 percent gain this year. Gold, often seen as alternative investment to riskier assets such as equities, could gain if stocks fall further.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Fundamental Analysis August 8
EUR/USD moved by 3 focuses in front of today's ECB declaration. The national bank is relied upon to hold rates and approach. The firecrackers will come amid Mr. Draghi's question and answer session late in the exchanging day. ECB authorities have said quantitative maneuvering is a choice, however remarks by the bank's German unexpected propose the bar may be high.

GBP/USD is holding at 1.6844 ahead of the BoE announcement. Policy makers will keep their asset-purchase target at 375 billion pounds, and the benchmark interest rate has been at 0.5 percent since March 2009. “As the economy normalizes, Bank Rate will need to start to rise in order to achieve the inflation target,” Carney said in a speech in Glasgow, Scotland, on July 23. “But the MPC has no pre-set course and the timing of any increases in interest rates will be determined by the data.”

AUD/USD tumbled to trade at 0.9256 while the US dollar held strong, after President Obama announced airstrikes in Iraq surprising the world. There was little reaction to the Chinese trade balance which printed in the green at 47.30 billion against expectations of 27.00 billion, although imports tumbled leaving questions about the Chinese recovery.

USD/JPY gave up 29 points this morning to trade at 101.80 as the yen surged on safe haven buying after the Americans announced an air offensive against ISIS in Iraq. President Barack Obama authorizes the U.S. military to conduct airstrikes against Islamist forces as needed but says the nation would not send new ground troops there.

Gold gave back some of yesterday’s gains to trade at 1305.40. Gold held on to overnight gains above $1,300 on Thursday, trading near its highest in more than a week as fears of Russian military action against Ukraine and retaliation by Moscow over Western sanctions burnished gold’s appeal as a safe haven.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Forex Daily Analysis - 11 Aug 2014

EUR/USD recouped and included 27 focuses today, as German exchange offset numbers missed desires yet sends out for surpassed imports helping giving a superior take a gander at the report. The US dollar pushed higher against the euro and the pound on Thursday after the European Central Bank and the Bank of England left their financial stances unaltered in strategy surveys.

GBP/USD eased by 23 points to trade at 1.6809 and looks to break into the 1.67 range but the US dollar continued to weaken as traders worry about the US entering the war in Iraq after President Obama approved air strikes against ISIS. The pound was weighed down by disappointing trade balance numbers along with worries about Scotland leaving the United Kingdom

AUD/USD gained 6 points to trade at 0.9282 against a strong dollar. Traders this morning are correcting an overreaction late last week when the Aussie tumbled on global stress and a mixed up Chinese trade balance print. Positive data from China over the weekend helped support the currency.

USD/JPY gained 12 points as the yen declined after lackluster data and a dovish BoJ monthly report. The pair moved to trade at 102.16. The Bank of Japan on Friday maintained record stimulus after recent production and export data highlighted weakness that could challenge Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s push to stoke faster inflation.

Gold is holding on to early morning gains trading at 1318.50 as geopolitical tensions are the only market focus after President Obama approved air strikes in Iraq and war returned to Gaza. Spot gold prices rose this morning on increasing safe haven bids and gained more than half a percent amid rising tensions in Iraq and Ukraine. Prices turned positive on reports that U.S. President Barack Obama approved air strikes and emergency relief airdrops to help 40,000 religious minorities in Iraq, who are trapped on a mountaintop after threats by Islamic militants.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Forex Daily Analysis - 13 Aug 2014

EUR/USD given way today after German information hit the ropes. The euro tumbled to exchange at a 9 month low, falling 45 focuses to exchange at 1.3338. The euro slid Tuesday after a droop in German monetary notion further powered stresses that the financial standoff with Russia over the clash in Ukraine is harming Europe's economy.german government obligation turned higher, while German shares falled behind a pickup in most local value markets.

GBP/USD eased by 8 points on the prospect of a disappointing UK jobs data to trade at 1.6778. BoE Governor Mark Carney will address the press after the inflation report, which is also going to be crucial for sterling. What follows is another important event – the second quarter GDP data, due on Friday. The UK claimant count is forecast to have dropped by 30,000 in July compared to the 36,300 drop recorded in June. Forecasters see the ILO unemployment rate for the three months to June at 6.4%, down from 6.5% in May.

AUD/USD eased by 3 points against the dollar rally. Strong data from Oz helped fight off the climbing US dollar. Australian house prices beat expectations along with the NAB business survey. The Australian dollar has stabilized following dramatic moves last week when the currency fell to two-month lows on the back of weaker-than-expected data and economic growth forecasts from the central bank.

USD/JPY climbed 13 points as traders moved away from safe haven trades leaving the JPY weak after a rash of disappointing economic data yesterday and last week as traders wait for the release on industrial production numbers. The US dollar surged 10 points in the morning session climbing to 81.61. On Monday, the US dollar rallied against the yen and euro after the unit plunged in the wake of last week’s announcement that Washington had authorized air strikes in Iraq.

Gold is moving between small gains and losses trading at 1311.60 but hugging the $1310 price level all day as geopolitical risks kept markets watchful. In Iraq, a new political crisis was brewing just days after Washington launched its first military action against insurgents from the Islamic State.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Forex Daily Analysis - 14 Aug 2014

GBP/USD tumbled 103 focuses after remarks from Bank of England Governor to exchange at 1.6708 in the wake of hopping on better than anticipated employments information. The pound tumbled to a two-month low versus the dollar as merchants pushed back their desires for premium rate expands after the Bank of England cut its estimate for pay development. The British pound spiked quickly before tumbling.

AUD/USD added 13 points to trade at 0.9281 after a significant jump in consumer confidence. Weak economic data and a downbeat central bank statement dampened sentiment towards the Australian dollar recently, but one analyst told CNBC investors shouldn’t give up faith. The currency fell 2.6 percent from its July 1 year-to-date high of $0.9504 against the U.S. dollar to a two-month low of around $0.9236 last week amid rising unemployment and a weaker growth outlook.

USD/JPY gained 4 points to trade at 102.30 after Japanese GDP missed expectations. Gross domestic product shrunk by an annualized 6.8% in the three months ended June, Japan’s Cabinet Office said Wednesday. The result was actually better than the 7% contraction expected by economists. Government officials were more sanguine about Wednesday’s data. Economy Minister Akira Amari said the figure didn’t change the government’s outlook that the economy continues to improve steadily. He said the government would respond flexibly on the economy but added that he didn’t currently see a need to compile an additional budget.

Gold was directionless today, remaining flat in the Asian session and moving between small gains and losses during European trading to sell for 1310.20. The Federal Reserve is cutting debt purchases and contemplating interest-rate increases as the economy strengthens. The dollar was near a nine-month high versus the euro after data showed yesterday German investor confidence slumped and before a report today that may show U.S. retail sales increased for a sixth month.

 

[Froso@FXNET]

Fundamental Analysis August 15
EUR/USD recuperated 27 focuses to exchange at 1.3391 after a large number of blended information and a confounded ECB month to month report. The dollar gave back increases the greater part of the morning to trade at 81.53. Euro zone swelling will be weaker than long ago expected in the not so distant future and next, an overhauled review for the European Central Bank showed today, obscuring the euro zone's monetary standpoint.

GBP/USD is flat today holding at 1.6691 after disappointing inflation information and comments from the central bank on Wednesday. The BoE lowered its growth estimate for U.K. wages to 1.25% for the year, down from 2.5%, or half of the previous estimate; 2015 wage growth estimates were also revised downward.

AUD/USD eased by 8 points to trade at 0.9298 after iron ore prices tumbled to their weakest this month weighing on the Aussie. Earlier in June, the iron ore price dropped to as low as $US89 a ton, but despite a minor rebound since then year-to-date falls are still over 30 per cent. The latest downward move comes amid continued oversupply in the market due to increased supply from heavyweights like BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto and softer demand from China.

USD/JPY continued to rise as the US dollar gained momentum as traders overlooked weak US data but focused on a significant drop in Japanese GDP. The USDJPY is trading at 102.60 up by 17 points this morning. The Japanese Yen traded on a negative note and depreciated around 0.2 percent yesterday on the back of expectation that global policy makers will keep borrowing costs low for longer, damping demand for haven assets. The Yen touched an intra-day low of 102.36.Japan’s Core Machinery Orders gained 8.8 percent in June as against a fall of 19.5 percent in June.

Gold is moving between small gains and losses holding at 1315.80. Gold consumption fell by an annualized 16 percent in the second quarter of 2014 as Chinese and Indian buyers cut back on record purchases a year earlier, sector data showed.